Earnings Growth of 6.3% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (SZSE:300760) Shareholders
Earnings Growth of 6.3% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (SZSE:300760) Shareholders
No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But when the market is down, you're bound to have some losers. The Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300760) is down 28% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -25% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 31% over the last three years. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 21% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 12% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
當股票虧損時,沒人會喜歡。但當市場走低時,很可能會有一些失敗者。深圳邁瑞醫療電子股份有限公司(SZSE:300760)在過去三年下跌了28%,但如果包括分紅派息,股東總回報率爲-25%。這比過去三年市場的31%下降要好。最近股價下跌加速,過去三個月下降了21%。當然,這個股價走勢很可能受到了更廣泛市場的12%下跌影響。
After losing 6.1% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
在過去一週失去了6.1%之後,值得調查該公司的基本面,以了解我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
引用巴菲特的話,「船隻會在世界各地航行,但扁平地球協會將空前盛行。市場上的價格和價值將繼續存在巨大差異… 」檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 20% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
在不幸的三年股價下跌期間,深圳邁瑞醫療電子實際上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年提高20%。鑑於股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑EPS並不是在該期間業務表現的良好指南(可能是由於一次性損失或收益)。或者過去的增長預期可能是不合理的。
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,因此值得查看其他指標。
We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 17% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
我們注意到,在過去三年中,營業收入實際上以17%的年增長率增長,這似乎不是賣出股份的理由。值得進一步調查深圳邁瑞醫療;雖然我們在這項分析中可能遺漏了一些東西,但也可能存在機會。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
你可以在下面的圖片中看到收入和營業收入隨時間的變化情況(單擊圖表可查看精確值)。
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. You can see what analysts are predicting for Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
邁瑞醫療是一隻知名股票,有很多分析師的覆蓋,表明對未來增長有一定的透明度。您可以在未來利潤預估的互動圖表中查看分析師對邁瑞醫療的預測。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics' TSR for the last 3 years was -25%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股價回報之外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。 TSR將任何拆股或折價的增資價值以及任何分紅包括在內,基於分紅再投資的假設。可以說,TSR提供了一種更全面的股票帶來的回報圖片。事實上,過去三年深圳邁瑞醫療的TSR爲-25%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付導致的!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Although it hurts that Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics returned a loss of 11% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 16%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 6%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics you should know about.
雖然邁瑞醫療電子在過去的十二個月中虧損了11%,這讓人很痛心,但整個市場的表現實際上更糟糕,虧損達到16%。長期投資者可能不會那麼難過,因爲在過去五年中,他們每年可以賺取6%的回報。在最好的情況下,過去一年只是通往更光明未來的暫時波動。我發現從長期來看股價作爲業務表現的一個代用指標非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,要考慮風險。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現了一項對於邁瑞醫療電子來說值得關注的警示信號您應該知道。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。