There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's (SZSE:002691) Earnings
There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's (SZSE:002691) Earnings
Unsurprisingly, Jikai Equipment Manufacturing Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002691) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.
冀凱股份有限公司(SZSE:002691)的股價在其健康的收益報告的推動下保持強勢。然而,我們的分析表明股東可能忽視了一些指標,表明收益結果並不像看起來那麼好。
Zooming In On Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's Earnings
聚焦冀凱股份的盈利
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
在高金融領域中,用於衡量公司如何將申報利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定期間的FCF中減去利潤,然後將結果除以公司在該期間平均經營資產。這個比率告訴我們有多少公司的利潤不是由自由現金流支撐的。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,當一個公司應記比率爲負數時,實際上這被視爲一件好事,而如果該比率爲正數則被視爲一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正的應記比率,但值得注意的是,當應計比率相當高時,引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文"高應計的公司未來的盈利能力較差"。
Jikai Equipment Manufacturing has an accrual ratio of -0.13 for the year to June 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥137m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥21.3m. Given that Jikai Equipment Manufacturing had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥137m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
從2024年6月看,冀凱股份的應計比率爲-0.13。這表明其自由現金流要遠遠超過其法定利潤。事實上,去年它的自由現金流爲13700萬人民幣,遠遠超過其法定利潤的2130萬人民幣。考慮到冀凱股份在上一個相應期間內的負自由現金流,過去12個月的13700萬人民幣的結果似乎是朝着正確的方向邁出的一步。然而,這還不是考慮的全部。我們可以看到非常規項目對其法定利潤產生了影響,因此對應計比率也產生了影響。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jikai Equipment Manufacturing.
注:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。單擊此處可以查看我們對冀凱股份資產負債表的分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
Surprisingly, given Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥26m in unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Jikai Equipment Manufacturing had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
冀凱裝備製造的應計比率表明其現金轉換強勁,其賬面利潤實際上被2600萬人民幣的飛凡項目提振。我們無法否認更高的利潤通常讓我們感到樂觀,但我們更希望利潤能夠持續。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了數據分析,發現飛凡項目一般都是一次性的。這也是情理之中,因爲這些提振被描述爲「飛凡」。相對於2024年6月的利潤,冀凱裝備製造的飛凡項目貢獻相當可觀。其他條件相等的情況下,這可能會導致法定利潤成爲核心盈利能力的不良指導。
Our Take On Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's Profit Performance
我們對冀凱裝備製造的利潤表現的看法
In conclusion, Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think Jikai Equipment Manufacturing's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into Jikai Equipment Manufacturing, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Jikai Equipment Manufacturing.
總之,冀凱裝備製造的應計比率表明其法定盈利質量良好,但另一方面,利潤被飛凡項目提振。考慮了這些因素後,我們認爲冀凱裝備製造的法定利潤並未對業務形成過度苛刻的看法。如果您想深入了解冀凱裝備製造,還需了解其當前面臨的風險。爲此,我們發現了3個警示信號(1個不容忽視!),在購買冀凱裝備製造的任何股票之前,您應該了解這些風險。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在這篇文章中,我們已經看了一些可能影響利潤數字實用性的因素,作爲業務的指導。但還有很多其他方法可以幫助您了解一家公司。有些人認爲股權回報率高是優質業務的一個好跡象。雖然這可能需要你做一些研究,但你可能會發現這個免費的公司集合擁有高股權回報率,或者這個持有大量內部股份的股票清單是很有用的。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。