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Tasly Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Tasly Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

天士力藥品集團有限公司剛剛超過了盈利預期:分析師們認爲接下來會發生什麼
Simply Wall St ·  08/27 18:42

Investors in Tasly Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:600535) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.2% to close at CN¥14.09 following the release of its second-quarter results. Revenues CN¥2.3b disappointed slightly, at8.6% below what the analysts had predicted. Profits were a relative bright spot, with statutory per-share earnings of CN¥0.24 coming in 14% above what was anticipated. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Tasly Pharmaceutical Group after the latest results.

天士力製藥股份有限公司(SHSE:600535)的投資者度過了愉快的一週,其股票上漲了2.2% 至14.09元人民幣,此前公佈二季度業績。營業收入爲23億元人民幣,稍微低於分析師的預測值,低於8.6%。利潤相對較好,每股收益爲0.24元人民幣,比預期值高出14%。分析師通常會在每份業績發佈後更新其預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷他們對該公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否有任何新的關注點需要注意。讀者們會很高興得知,我們已經整合了最新的業績預測,以查看分析師在最新業績後對天士力製藥股份有限公司是否改變了他們的看法。

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SHSE:600535 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 27th 2024
SHSE:600535 2024年8月27日的盈利和營收增長

Following the latest results, Tasly Pharmaceutical Group's nine analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥9.11b in 2024. This would be a credible 5.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to grow 16% to CN¥0.80. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥9.08b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.80 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

根據最新的業績結果,天士力製藥股份有限公司的九位分析師預測2024年的營業收入將達到91.1億元人民幣,相比過去12個月增長了5.4%。預計每股收益將增長16%,達到0.80元人民幣。在此份業績發佈前,分析師預測2024年的營業收入爲90.8億元人民幣,每股收益爲0.80元人民幣。綜合分析師的看法,他們似乎並沒有因這些業績結果而改變對該公司的看法,因爲他們的估計沒有發生重大變化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥17.23. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Tasly Pharmaceutical Group, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥19.56 and the most bearish at CN¥15.30 per share. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Tasly Pharmaceutical Group is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

因此,毫不意外地,我們得知共識價格目標基本上與之前相比沒有太大變化,爲17.23元人民幣。共識價格目標僅爲各個分析師目標的平均值,所以了解底層估計範圍是很有用的。在天士力製藥股份有限公司的估值中存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析師將其估值定爲19.56元人民幣,最看淡的爲15.30元人民幣每股。儘管如此,根據估計值的相對緊密分佈,看起來分析師在其估值上相當有信心,這表明天士力製藥股份有限公司很容易預測,或者說分析師都使用類似的假設。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Tasly Pharmaceutical Group is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 11% annualised growth until the end of 2024. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 21% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 12% per year. So it looks like Tasly Pharmaceutical Group is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

獲取這些預測更詳細的背景的一種方法是比較它們與過去的表現以及同行業其他公司的表現。有一件事從這些預測中顯而易見,那就是天士力在未來的增長速度將快於過去,預計到2024年底,營業收入預計將以11%的年增長率增長。如果實現這一預測,這將比過去五年的21%的年均下降要好得多。而據我們的數據顯示,同行業其他公司(有分析師報告的)預計營業收入將以每年12%的速度增長。因此,天士力預計將以與整個行業大致相同的速度增長。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最明顯的結論是,最近沒有發生業務前景的重大變化,分析師維持他們的盈利預測不變,符合之前的估計。他們還重申了營收預測,預計該公司的增長速度將與更廣泛的行業相同。共識價格目標沒有真正變化,這表明業務的內在價值在最新的估計中沒有經歷任何重大變化。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Tasly Pharmaceutical Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

延續這種思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的收益更爲重要。在Simply Wall St,我們對天士力藥業集團的分析師預測有一個完整的範圍,延伸至2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看這些預測。

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Tasly Pharmaceutical Group that you should be aware of.

不要忘記還可能存在風險。例如,我們已經發現了天士力藥業集團的2個警示信號,您應該注意。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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