We Think Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's (SZSE:002811) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
We Think Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's (SZSE:002811) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
Last week's profit announcement from Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002811) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline numbers being robust. We did some digging and found some worrying underlying problems.
儘管標題數據強勁,但深圳正中設計有限公司(SZSE:002811)上週的盈利公告令投資者望而卻步。我們進行了一些挖掘,發現了一些令人擔憂的潛在問題。
A Closer Look At Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's Earnings
仔細看看深圳正中設計的收益
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如財務愛好者已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與其利潤相匹配程度的關鍵指標。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們公司有多少利潤沒有自由現金流支持。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超出了其利潤所暗示的範圍。儘管應計比率爲正(表明非現金利潤達到一定水平)不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙質利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計比率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。
Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design has an accrual ratio of -0.40 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥327m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥7.57m. Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
截至2024年6月的一年中,深圳正中設計的應計比率爲-0.40。因此,其法定收入大大低於其自由現金流。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲32700萬元人民幣,遠遠超過其757萬元人民幣的法定利潤。毫無疑問,深圳正中設計的股東對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到高興。話雖如此,故事還有更多。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對深圳正中設計的資產負債表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?
While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥55m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
儘管應計率可能是個好兆頭,但我們還注意到,在過去的十二個月中,價值5500萬元人民幣的不尋常物品提振了深圳正中設計的利潤。雖然獲得更高的利潤總是件好事,但來自不尋常物品的巨額捐款有時會抑制我們的熱情。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。截至2024年6月,深圳正中設計從不尋常的項目中獲得了相當大的利潤。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤明顯高於原來的水平。
Our Take On Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's Profit Performance
我們對深圳正中設計盈利表現的看法
Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
深圳正中設計的利潤因不尋常的項目而得到提振,這表明這些項目可能無法持續下去,但其應計比率仍然顯示出穩健的現金轉換,這令人鼓舞。鑑於截然不同的考慮,我們對深圳正中設計的利潤是否恰當地反映了其潛在的盈利潛力沒有強烈的看法。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,那麼考慮它面臨的任何風險至關重要。例如,深圳正中設計有4個警告標誌(其中一個有點令人擔憂),我們認爲你應該知道。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在本文中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲企業的指南。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 「關注資金」,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份擁有高股本回報率的公司的免費集合,或者這份內部所有權高的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。