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Is Novoray (SHSE:688300) A Risky Investment?

Is Novoray (SHSE:688300) A Risky Investment?

Novoray (SHSE:688300)是否是一項風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  08/28 18:27

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Novoray Corporation (SHSE:688300) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,聯瑞公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688300)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Novoray Carry?

聯瑞揹負了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Novoray had debt of CN¥120.5m, up from CN¥4.67m in one year. But it also has CN¥454.2m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥333.7m net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年6月,聯瑞的債務爲12050萬元人民幣,高於一年的467萬元人民幣。但它也有45420萬元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它有33370萬元的淨現金。

1724884018406
SHSE:688300 Debt to Equity History August 28th 2024
SHSE: 688300 2024 年 8 月 28 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Novoray's Balance Sheet?

聯瑞的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Novoray had liabilities of CN¥301.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥151.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥454.2m as well as receivables valued at CN¥330.3m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥331.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,聯瑞的負債爲30180萬元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲15180萬元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有45420萬元人民幣的現金以及價值330萬元人民幣的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產實際上比總負債多出33100萬元人民幣。

This surplus suggests that Novoray has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Novoray boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種盈餘表明聯瑞的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,聯瑞擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Novoray has boosted its EBIT by 65%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Novoray can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

除此之外,我們很高興地報告,聯瑞已將其息稅前利潤提高了65%,從而減少了對未來債務償還的擔憂。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定聯瑞能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Novoray has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Novoray recorded free cash flow of 50% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。儘管聯瑞的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。從最近三年來看,聯瑞錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的50%,低於我們的預期。在償還債務方面,這並不好。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Novoray has CN¥333.7m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 65% over the last year. So is Novoray's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Novoray that you should be aware of.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,聯瑞擁有33370萬元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。它的息稅前利潤比去年增長了65%,給我們留下了深刻的印象。那麼聯瑞的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定了Novoray的1個警告標誌,你應該注意這一點。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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