There wouldn't be many who think Weihai Guangwei Composites Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300699) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.7x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 26x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Weihai Guangwei Composites could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Does Growth Match The P/E?
Weihai Guangwei Composites' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 1.6%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 15% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 15% per annum during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 23% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Weihai Guangwei Composites' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Weihai Guangwei Composites' P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Weihai Guangwei Composites currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware Weihai Guangwei Composites is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Weihai Guangwei Composites. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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