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Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd (SZSE:002654) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd (SZSE:002654) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

深圳梅森科技有限公司(SZSE:002654)在債務使用上存在着一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  08/28 18:36

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Shenzhen Mason Technologies Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002654) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

巴菲特的伯克希爾哈撒韋公司支持的外部基金經理李錄在談到投資風險時毫不掩飾地說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動性,而是你是否會遭受到永久性資本損失。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的負債使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致破產。作爲許多其他公司一樣,深圳市萬潤科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002654)也在使用債務。但股東們是否應該擔心它的債務使用情況?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當一家企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力價格融資的方式輕鬆履行債務時,債務和其他負債就變得冒風險了。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法定義務,股東可能一無所有。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是公司不得不以低價發行新股權,從而永久性稀釋股東的權益。當然,有很多公司利用債務來資助增長,而沒有任何負面後果。在考慮一家公司的債務使用情況時,我們首先看現金和債務的總體情況。

How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd Carry?

深圳市萬潤科技股份有限公司承載了多少債務?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd had CN¥702.0m in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥332.3m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥369.7m.

下面的圖表(點擊可放大查看詳細信息)顯示,深圳市萬潤科技股份有限公司在2024年3月有7,0200萬元的債務,與前一年大致相同。然而,它還有3,3230萬元的現金,因此其淨債務爲3,6970萬元。

1724884612815
SZSE:002654 Debt to Equity History August 28th 2024
SZSE:002654債務與淨資產比歷史數據2024年8月28日

A Look At Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's Liabilities

深圳市萬潤科技股份有限公司的負債情況。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.06b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥587.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥332.3m in cash and CN¥1.69b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥622.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,深圳市萬潤科技股份有限公司的負債中,有20.6億元人民幣的到期期限在一年內,而超過一年的負債爲58770萬人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有33230萬人民幣的現金和16.9億元的應收賬款,這些應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總計比其現金和短期應收帳款多62260萬人民幣。

Given Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥8.05b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

鑑於深圳萬潤科技有限公司的市值爲80.5億人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成很大威脅。話雖如此,我們當然要繼續監控它的資產負債表,以防情況惡化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

BJ批發俱樂部控股公司的淨債務只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋其利息費用,比例爲12.6倍。因此,我們對其超級保守的債務使用感到相當放心。雖然BJ批發俱樂部控股公司在EBIT方面沒有取得太多進展,但至少其盈利保持穩定。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的切入點。但歸根結底,企業未來的盈利能力將決定BJ批發俱樂部控股公司能否隨着時間的推移加強資產負債表。因此,如果你要關注未來,可以查看一下這份免費的分析報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。

Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.2 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.5 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, the silver lining was that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd achieved a positive EBIT of CN¥8.2m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

深圳萬潤科技有限公司的債務與息稅前利潤倍數爲4.2倍,息稅前利潤足以償付利息2.5倍。這表明雖然債務水平相當高,但我們不會將其稱爲問題。然而,好消息是深圳萬潤科技有限公司在過去十二個月內實現了820萬人民幣的息稅前純利潤,較去年的虧損有所改善。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解債務最多。但你不能孤立地看待債務;因爲深圳萬潤科技有限公司需要盈利來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,確實值得觀察盈利趨勢。點擊此處查看交互式快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,一個公司只能用冷硬現金而不是會計利潤償還債務。因此,檢查收益稅前利潤和稅前利潤之間的自由現金流量有多少是靠有餘現金支持是值得的。過去一年,深圳萬潤科技有限公司的自由現金流量總體上呈負增長。儘管投資者無疑希望在適當的時候情況會逆轉,但這顯然意味着其利用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

We'd go so far as to say Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at staying on top of its total liabilities; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

我們甚至可以說,萬潤科技有限公司將EBIt轉換爲自由現金流的能力令人失望。但至少在應對其總負債方面表現還不錯,這是令人鼓舞的。綜上考慮,我們認爲萬潤科技有限公司的債務使其存在一定風險。有些人喜歡這種風險,但我們對潛在的風險問題保持警惕,所以我們可能更希望它負債更少。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如-萬潤科技有限公司存在2個警示信號,我們認爲您應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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