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Earnings Update: Haitian International Holdings Limited (HKG:1882) Just Reported Its Half-Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

Earnings Update: Haitian International Holdings Limited (HKG:1882) Just Reported Its Half-Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

盈利更新:海天國際控股有限公司(HKG:1882)剛剛公佈了上半年業績,分析師們正在更新他們的預測。
Simply Wall St ·  08/28 19:28

Shareholders might have noticed that Haitian International Holdings Limited (HKG:1882) filed its half-year result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 3.8% to HK$21.25 in the past week. It was a workmanlike result, with revenues of CN¥8.0b coming in 2.1% ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.95, in line with analyst appraisals. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Haitian International Holdings after the latest results.

股東們可能已經注意到,海天國際控股有限公司(HKG: 1882)上週這個時候公佈了半年度業績。早期的反應並不樂觀,過去一週股價下跌3.8%,至21.25港元。這是一個工人般的結果,80元人民幣的收入比預期高出2.1%,法定每股收益爲0.95元人民幣,與分析師的評估一致。對於投資者來說,盈利是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以追蹤公司的業績,查看分析師對明年的預測,看看對公司的情緒是否發生了變化。讀者會很高興得知我們已經彙總了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師在最新業績公佈後是否改變了對海天國際控股的看法。

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SEHK:1882 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 28th 2024
SEHK: 1882 收益及收入增長 2024 年 8 月 28 日

After the latest results, the eleven analysts covering Haitian International Holdings are now predicting revenues of CN¥15.8b in 2024. If met, this would reflect an okay 7.3% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 7.6% to CN¥1.88. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥15.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.83 in 2024. So there seems to have been a moderate uplift in sentiment following the latest results, given the upgrades to both revenue and earnings per share forecasts for next year.

最新業績公佈後,涵蓋海天國際控股的11位分析師現在預測2024年的收入爲158元人民幣。如果得到滿足,這將反映出收入與過去12個月相比增長了7.3%。每股收益預計將增長7.6%,至1.88元人民幣。然而,在最新業績公佈之前,分析師曾預計2024年的收入爲152元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲1.83元人民幣。因此,鑑於明年收入和每股收益預測均有所上調,最新業績公佈後,市場情緒似乎略有上升。

Despite these upgrades,the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of HK$28.33, suggesting that the higher estimates are not likely to have a long term impact on what the stock is worth. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Haitian International Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at HK$32.87 and the most bearish at HK$23.98 per share. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Haitian International Holdings shareholders.

儘管進行了這些上調,但分析師尚未對28.33港元的目標股價做出任何重大調整,這表明較高的估計不太可能對該股的價值產生長期影響。但是,這並不是我們可以從這些數據中得出的唯一結論,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師目標股價時也喜歡考慮估計值的差異。對海天國際控股的看法有所不同,最看漲的分析師將其估值爲32.87港元,最看跌的爲每股23.98港元。分析師對該業務的看法肯定各不相同,但我們認爲,估計的範圍還不夠廣泛,不足以表明海天國際控股股東可能會有極端的結果。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Haitian International Holdings' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 15% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 6.2% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 11% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Haitian International Holdings is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

了解這些預測的更多背景信息的一種方法是研究它們與過去的業績相比如何,以及同一行業中其他公司的表現。從最新估計中可以明顯看出,海天國際控股的增長率預計將大幅加快,預計到2024年底的年化收入增長15%,將明顯快於其過去五年6.2%的歷史年增長率。相比之下,同行業的其他公司預計收入每年將增長11%。考慮到收入增長的預測,很明顯,海天國際控股的增長速度預計將比其行業快得多。

The Bottom Line

底線

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Haitian International Holdings' earnings potential next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at HK$28.33, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

對我們來說,最大的收穫是共識的每股收益上調,這表明人們對海天國際控股明年盈利潛力的看法將明顯改善。令人高興的是,他們還上調了收入預期,並預測其增長速度將超過整個行業。共識目標股價穩定在28.33港元,最新估計不足以對其目標股價產生影響。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Haitian International Holdings analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。根據多位海天國際控股分析師的估計,到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You can also see our analysis of Haitian International Holdings' Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

您還可以看到我們對海天國際控股董事會和首席執行官薪酬和經驗的分析,以及公司內部人士是否一直在購買股票。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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