Is Dawning Information Industry (SHSE:603019) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Dawning Information Industry (SHSE:603019) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Dawning Information Industry Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603019) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
禾倫·巴菲特曾說:「波動性與風險遠非同義詞。」當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看其債務使用情況,因爲負債過重可能會導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,中科曙光(SHSE:603019)也使用債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否使公司變得風險重重。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般來說,當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲一個真正的問題,公司只能通過籌集資本或憑藉自己的現金流來償還債務。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人的債務,那麼可能會破產。然而,更常見的情況是需要以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的股份。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表了廉價的資本,特別是當債務取代向具有高回報率的公司再投資而造成的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是看其現金和債務的總和。
What Is Dawning Information Industry's Net Debt?
什麼是中科曙光的淨債務?
As you can see below, Dawning Information Industry had CN¥2.33b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥4.84b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.51b.
如下所示,2024年6月中科曙光的債務爲23.3億人民幣,與前一年基本持平。您可以點擊圖表查看更詳細資料。然而,中科曙光有48.4億人民幣的現金,抵消了部分債務,從而形成了淨現金25.1億人民幣。
A Look At Dawning Information Industry's Liabilities
根據最近一份財務報表顯示,中科曙光股份有限公司目前有人民幣53.9億的負債到期,人民幣68.9億的負債到期超過12個月。相對這些負債來說,中科曙光股份有限公司有人民幣64.3億的現金以及人民幣36.7億的應收賬款到期在12個月內。所以,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合多人民幣21.8億。
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Dawning Information Industry had liabilities of CN¥4.51b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥7.76b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.84b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.13b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥3.30b.
最近的資產負債表顯示,中科曙光一年內到期的負債爲人民幣45.1億,到期超過一年的負債爲人民幣77.6億。抵消這些義務的是,它有人民幣48.4億的現金以及價值人民幣41.3億的應收款項,12個月內到期。因此,它的負債超過現金和(短期)應收款項的總和33億元。
Given Dawning Information Industry has a market capitalization of CN¥51.7b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Dawning Information Industry boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
考慮到中科曙光市值爲人民幣517億,很難相信這些負債構成了多大的威脅。然而,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能隨着時間的推移而變化。儘管負債顯著,中科曙光擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
And we also note warmly that Dawning Information Industry grew its EBIT by 13% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dawning Information Industry's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
我們也熱情地注意到,中科曙光去年將EBIt增長了13%,使其債務負擔更容易處理。資產負債表顯然是在分析債務時要重點關注的領域。但重要的是未來的收入,更勝於一切,將決定中科曙光維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份展示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Dawning Information Industry may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Dawning Information Industry saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲公司不能用虛假利潤償還債務;它需要真金白銀的現金。中科曙光可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但了解企業如何將利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流,仍然是很有趣的,因爲這將影響它對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去三年中,中科曙光看到了大量負的自由現金流。儘管投資者無疑期待這種局勢會在不久的將來逆轉,但顯然這意味着其債務的使用更具風險。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Dawning Information Industry has CN¥2.51b in net cash. And it also grew its EBIT by 13% over the last year. So we are not troubled with Dawning Information Industry's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Dawning Information Industry that you should be aware of.
雖然查看公司總負債是明智的,但中國科曙光有25.1億人民幣的自由現金流非常令人放心。去年,其稅息前利潤增長了13%。因此,我們對中國科曙光的債務使用並不擔憂。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是首要的起點。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都源於資產負債表——遠非如此。例如,我們已經發現了中科曙光的1個警告信號,您應該注意它。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。
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