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We Think ZJLD Group (HKG:6979) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think ZJLD Group (HKG:6979) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲ZJLD集團(HKG:6979)可以繼續保持債務控制的領先地位
Simply Wall St ·  08/29 02:31

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies ZJLD Group Inc (HKG:6979) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理陸奇(得到查理·芒格支持)曾說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動性,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看它使用債務的情況,因爲債務過重可能會導致滅亡。就像許多其他公司一樣,ZJLD集團有限公司(HKG:6979)也在使用債務。但股東們應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般來說,企業只有在無法輕鬆償還債務時,無論是通過籌集資金還是通過自身的現金流,債務才會成爲真正的問題。 在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償付債權人,則可能破產。 儘管這不太常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲放貸人強迫其以低價籌集資金而永久稀釋股東。 當然,有很多公司使用債務來資助增長,沒有任何負面影響。 考慮一家公司的負債水平的第一步是將其現金和債務合併考慮。

What Is ZJLD Group's Net Debt?

ZJLD集團的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, ZJLD Group had CN¥285.1m of debt, up from CN¥36.6m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥6.11b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥5.83b.

正如您可以在下面看到的,截至2024年6月底,ZJLD集團的債務金額爲2.851億元人民幣,高於一年前的3660萬元人民幣。點擊圖片以了解更多詳情。然而,它也擁有61.1億元人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,從而形成淨現金達到了58.3億元人民幣。

1724913074697
SEHK:6979 Debt to Equity History August 29th 2024
SEHK:6979的資產負債歷史記錄(2024年8月29日)

How Healthy Is ZJLD Group's Balance Sheet?

ZJLD集團的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, ZJLD Group had liabilities of CN¥4.82b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥42.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥6.11b and CN¥331.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.58b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最近披露的資產負債表顯示,ZJLD集團有超過121.9億人民幣的短期債務,在12個月內到期,超過2480萬人民幣的長期債務。另一方面,ZJLD集團有現金資金約61.1億人民幣,應收賬款約33160萬人民幣,在一年內到期。所以,其流動資產比總負債多約15.8億人民幣。

This short term liquidity is a sign that ZJLD Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that ZJLD Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種短期流動性表明,ZJLD集團可能能夠輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表還遠未達到極限。簡而言之,事實上,ZJLD集團的現金資金多於債務,可以說是一個很好的指示,它能夠安全地管理其債務。

And we also note warmly that ZJLD Group grew its EBIT by 18% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ZJLD Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

我們還要熱情地提醒您,ZJLD集團去年其EBIT增長了18%,使其更容易應對債務負擔。顯然,資產負債表是您進行債務分析時需要關注的領域。但最終,企業未來的盈利能力將決定ZJLD集團是否能夠逐漸加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解更多專業人士的看法,您可能會對分析師利潤預測的免費報告感興趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While ZJLD Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, ZJLD Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,企業需要有自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤不能解決問題。雖然ZJLD集團在其資產負債表上有淨現金,但我們仍然應該看一下其將利息和稅前收益(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它的現金餘額增加(或減少)的速度。在過去的三年中,ZJLD集團的負自由現金流總額相當大。雖然這可能是由於擴張支出導致的,但它使得債務更加風險。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that ZJLD Group has net cash of CN¥5.83b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 18% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with ZJLD Group's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for ZJLD Group you should be aware of.

雖然我們對於投資者擔心債務問題有同感,但您應該記住,ZJLD Group擁有58.3億人民幣的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。而且我們喜歡去年18%的利潤增長率。所以我們對ZJLD Group的債務使用沒有任何問題。毋庸置疑,我們從資產負債表上可以看到大部分與債務有關的信息。然而,並非所有的投資風險都體現在資產負債表上,遠非如此。典型案例:我們發現了ZJLD Group的兩個警示信號,您應該知道這一點。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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