How to Deal With Stock Decline: 10 Rules from Peter Lynch, a 2700% Return Fund Manager
How to Deal With Stock Decline: 10 Rules from Peter Lynch, a 2700% Return Fund Manager
As the former fund manager of the Magellan Fund under Fidelity Investments, Peter Lynch achieved a remarkable average annual return of 29.2% over 13 years from 1977 and 1990, achieving a 2,700% growth in total that transformed $18 million in assets into $14 billion during his tenure. His success was rooted not only in his skill at stocks selection but also in his investment philosophy. Here, we delve into 10 rules from Peter Lynch on how to deal with stock decline and volatility.
作爲富達投資管理下Magellan基金的前基金經理,彼得·林奇在1977年到1990年這13年間,實現了驚人的29.2%年均回報率,總增長了2700%,在任期內將1,800萬資產轉化爲14億美元。他的成功不僅源於對股票選擇的技巧,還源於他的投資理念。在這裏,我們深入探討彼得·林奇關於如何應對股票下跌和波動的10條規則。
1. Embrace volatility as an opportunity
1. 將波動視爲機遇
Lynch: 'I love volatility'. Lynch views volatility not as a burden but as an opportunity. Market fluctuations are a natural part of investing, and understanding this can help investors to remain calm and make rational decisions during turbulent times. Volatility can present opportunities to buy good companies at discounted prices.
林奇:「我喜歡波動」。林奇將波動視爲機會而不是負擔。市場波動是投資的自然部分,理解這一點可以幫助投資者在動盪時期保持冷靜,並做出理性決策。波動能夠提供購買優質公司以折扣價的機會。
2. Accept periodic losses
2. 接受定期損失
Successful investors accept that periodic losses, setbacks, and unexpected occurrences are part of the game. Lynch stresses that sharp drops should not scare investors out of the market. Instead, these drops should be viewed as part of the long-term investment journey.
成功的投資者接受定期的損失、挫折和意外事件是投資遊戲的一部分。林奇強調,急劇的下跌不應嚇退投資者。相反,這些下跌應被視爲長期投資之旅的一部分。
3. Know what you own and why you own it
3. 知道自己擁有和爲何擁有
Understanding the companies in which you invest is fundamental. Lynch believes that investors should know their stocks as well as they know their neighbors. This knowledge helps in making informed decisions and staying confident in the face of market volatility.
了解你投資的公司是至關重要的。林奇認爲投資者應該像了解鄰居一樣了解他們的股票。這種知識有助於做出明智的決策,並在市場波動面前保持信心。
4. Understand the company before investing
4. 在投資之前了解公司
Before purchasing a stock, particularly one that has seen a significant decline, it’s crucial to understand the company’s financial health, business model, and the reasons behind its stock’s decline. Lynch recounts his early mistakes, emphasizing the importance of thorough research and a deep understanding of the company's fundamentals.
在購買股票之前,尤其是那些大幅下降的股票之前,了解公司的財務狀況、業務模式以及股價下降背後的原因是非常重要的。林奇回憶起自己早期的錯誤,強調了全面的研究和對公司基本面的深入理解的重要性。
5. Avoid the "it willl bounce back" mentality
5. 避免「它會反彈」的心態
Not all declining stocks will recover. Making investment decisions based on the hope or assumption that a stock will return to its previous highs can be a grave mistake. Lynch advises basing decisions on solid research and understanding of the company’s prospects, rather than on hope or speculation.
並非所有下跌的股票都會恢復。基於希望或假設股票將恢復到先前的高點做出投資決策可能是一個嚴重的錯誤。林奇建議基於充分的研究和對公司前景的理解來做出決策,而不是基於希望或猜測。
6. Don’t buy based on price alone
6. 不要僅僅根據價格購買
Just because a stock’s price has dropped significantly doesn’t automatically make it a good investment. A decline in price doesn’t necessarily indicate value. Lynch emphasizes that price alone should never be the sole criterion for purchasing a stock. Instead, investors should look for intrinsic value and the underlying factors that have caused the price drop.
僅僅因爲股票的價格大幅下降,並不能自動使其成爲一個好的投資。價格下跌並不一定表示價值。林奇強調,單純價格永遠不應該是購買股票的唯一標準。相反,投資者應該尋找內在價值和導致價格下跌的潛在因素。
7. Discipline over intuition
7. 紀律勝於直覺
Lynch emphasizes the importance of discipline over intuition. While instincts can sometimes be helpful, disciplined research and analysis are more reliable foundations for investment decisions. Sticking to a strategy based on solid research helps investors to stay the course during market downturns.
林奇強調紀律的重要性勝過直覺。儘管直覺有時可能有幫助,但基於紀律性的研究和分析更可靠,是投資決策的基礎。堅持以紮實的研究爲基礎的策略有助於投資者在市場下滑期間堅守初衷。
8. Focus on the long-term
8. 關注長期
Lynch emphasizes the importance of long-term investing. He argues that while short-term market movements are unpredictable, the long-term growth of well-run companies is relatively predictable. Investors should focus on the long-term potential of their investments rather than short-term market volatility.
林奇強調長期投資的重要性。他認爲,雖然短期市場波動是不可預測的,但良好運營的公司的長期增長相對可預測。投資者應該關注他們的投資的長期潛力,而不是短期市場的波動性。
9. Diversify your portfolio
9. 分散你的投資組合
Diversification is critical to managing risk and navigating market downturns. Lynch advises not putting all your eggs in one basket and suggests diversifying across different sectors and asset classes to mitigate risks and enhance potential returns.
分散化是管理風險和應對市場下滑的關鍵。林奇建議不要把所有的雞蛋放在一個籃子裏,並建議在不同的行業和資產類別之間進行分散以降低風險並增強潛在回報。
10. Patience is Key
10. 耐心是關鍵
Patience is a virtue in investing. Lynch asserts that time is a great cure for volatility. By remaining patient and staying invested in fundamentally strong companies, investors can ride out market downturns and benefit from long-term growth.
耐心是投資中的一種美德。林奇認爲,時間是治癒波動性的良藥。通過保持耐心並投資於基本強大的公司,投資者可以度過市場下滑並從長期增長中受益。
Navigating the stock market requires a blend of insight, discipline, and patience. Peter Lynch’s rules offer a roadmap for dealing with decline and volatility, emphasizing the importance of understanding the underlying value of investments, embracing volatility as part of the journey, and maintaining a long-term perspective. Whether you are a seasoned investor or a newcomer to the stock market, these principles provide a solid foundation for making informed and strategic investment decisions. Remember, in the words of Lynch, "Everyone has the brainpower to make money in stocks. Not everyone has the stomach." Stay informed, stay disciplined, and most importantly, stay patient.
在股市中航行需要洞察力、紀律和耐心的結合。彼得·林奇的規則提供了處理下滑和波動的路線圖,強調了理解投資的潛在價值、將波動視爲旅程的一部分以及保持長期視野的重要性。無論您是經驗豐富的投資者還是股市的新手,這些原則爲做出明智和戰略的投資決策提供了堅實的基礎。記住,用林奇的話來說,「每個人都有賺錢的智慧,但並不是每個人都有膽量。」保持了解、保持紀律,最重要的是保持耐心。