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Is Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) Using Too Much Debt?

甲骨文(紐交所:ORCL)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  08/29 09:17

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

當大衛·伊本(David Iben)說'波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免永久性的資本損失。'時,他表達得很好。當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看一下它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致災難。與許多其他公司一樣,甲骨文公司(NYSE:ORCL)也使用了債務。但股東們是否應該擔心它的債務使用情況?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

對於一家企業而言,當無法輕鬆實現這些義務時,債務和其他負債會變得風險重重,無論是通過自由現金流還是按照有吸引力的價格籌集資金。 最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法定義務,股東可能一無所獲。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東才能控制債務。 當然,許多公司利用債務來支持增長,沒有任何負面後果。 要考慮一家企業使用多少債務時,首先要看其現金和債務總額。

What Is Oracle's Debt?

什麼是甲骨文的債務?

As you can see below, Oracle had US$86.9b of debt, at May 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$10.7b, its net debt is less, at about US$76.2b.

正如您在下面所見,截至2024年5月,甲骨文的債務爲869億美元,與去年大致相同。您可以點擊圖表查看更詳細的信息。然而,由於它有107億美元的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約爲762億美元。

1724937468811
NYSE:ORCL Debt to Equity History August 29th 2024
NYSE:ORCL債權淨資產歷史記錄(2024年8月29日)

How Strong Is Oracle's Balance Sheet?

Oracle的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Oracle had liabilities of US$31.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$100.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$10.7b in cash and US$8.70b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$112.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

深入研究最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到Oracle在12個月內有315億美元的到期負債,超過12個月有1002億美元的到期負債。相比之下,它在12個月內有107億美元的現金和87億美元的應收賬款。所以它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款多1124億美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Oracle is worth a massive US$381.6b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

這個赤字並不是很嚴重,因爲Oracle的價值達到了3816億美元,因此如果需要,它可能能夠籌集到足夠的資本來穩固其資產負債表。但是很明顯,我們應該仔細考慮它是否可以在不稀釋股權的情況下管理其債務。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了對公司的債務相對於其收益進行規模適應,我們計算其淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比及其稅前收益(EBIT)與利息支出之比(利息保障倍數)。因此,我們既考慮到不包括折舊和攤銷費用在內的收益,又包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務。

Oracle has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.6 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.1 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. One way Oracle could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 15%, as it did over the last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Oracle's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Oracle的債務與EBITDA比率爲3.6,而EBIT覆蓋了其利息支出的5.1倍。這表明儘管債務水平相當高,但我們不會將其稱爲問題所在。Oracle消除債務的一種方式是停止借債,但繼續以約15%的增長率增加EBIT,就像過去一年所做的那樣。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要關注的領域。但與任何其他因素相比,未來收益將決定Oracle未來能否維持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,你可以查看這份免費的分析師利潤預測報告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Oracle recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,一家企業需要有自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤是不夠的。因此,我們始終要檢查EBIT中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在最近的三年中,Oracle的自由現金流相當於其EBIT的56%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅收。這個自由現金流使得該公司在適當時期償還債務時處於良好的位置。

Our View

我們的觀點

Oracle's EBIT growth rate was a real positive on this analysis, as was its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. On the other hand, its net debt to EBITDA makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Oracle is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Oracle you should be aware of.

這個分析中,Oracle的EBIT增長率是一個真正的積極因素,同樣其EBIT轉換爲自由現金流也是如此。 另一方面,其淨債務與EBITDA比率使我們對其債務感到有些不舒服。 當我們考慮到上述所有因素時,我們認爲Oracle在管理債務方面做得相當好。 話雖如此,負擔有些沉重,因此我們建議股東密切關注。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個明顯的起點。 但最終,每家公司都可能存在不在資產負債表之外的風險。 一個例子是: 我們發現了Oracle的1個警示標誌,您應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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