With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 26x in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Harbin Boshi Automation Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002698) P/E ratio of 25.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Harbin Boshi Automation hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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How Is Harbin Boshi Automation's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Harbin Boshi Automation's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 8.5%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 16% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 23% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Harbin Boshi Automation's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Harbin Boshi Automation's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Harbin Boshi Automation's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Harbin Boshi Automation that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Harbin Boshi Automation. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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