To the annoyance of some shareholders, Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 33% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Advance Auto Parts' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Specialty Retail industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Advance Auto Parts' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Advance Auto Parts has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Advance Auto Parts' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Advance Auto Parts' Revenue Growth Trending?
Advance Auto Parts' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its revenue growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.5% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 5.7% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Advance Auto Parts' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Advance Auto Parts' P/S?
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Advance Auto Parts looks to be in line with the rest of the Specialty Retail industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Advance Auto Parts' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Advance Auto Parts (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Advance Auto Parts' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
令一些股東煩惱的是,Advance Auto Parts, Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:AAP)的股價在上個月下跌了27%,這延續了該公司的糟糕表現。過去30天的下跌結束了股東艱難的一年,股價在此期間下跌了33%。
即使在價格大幅下跌之後,與美國專業零售行業相比,Advance Auto Parts目前0.2倍的市銷率(或 「市盈率」)似乎相當 「中間路線」,可以毫不誇張地說,Advance Auto Parts的市銷率中位數約爲0.4倍。但是,不加解釋地忽略市銷率是不明智的,因爲投資者可能會忽視一個明顯的機會或一個代價高昂的錯誤。
Advance Auto Parts的市銷率對股東意味着什麼?
由於最近收入增長不及大多數其他公司,Advance Auto Parts一直相對疲軟。也許市場預計未來的收入表現將有所提高,這阻止了市銷率的下降。但是,如果不是這樣,投資者可能會陷入爲股票支付過多費用的困境。
想了解分析師如何看待Advance Auto Parts的未來與該行業的對立嗎?在這種情況下,我們的免費報告是一個很好的起點。
Advance Auto Parts的收入增長趨勢如何?
Advance Auto Parts的市銷率對於一家預計只會實現適度增長且重要的是表現與行業持平的公司來說是典型的。
考慮到這一點,我們發現有趣的是,Advance Auto Parts的市銷率與業內同行非常接近。看來大多數投資者無視相當有限的增長預期,願意爲股票敞口付出代價。維持這些價格將很難實現,因爲這種收入增長水平最終可能會壓低股價。
我們可以從Advance Auto Parts的市銷率中學到什麼?
隨着股價的下跌,Advance Auto Parts的市銷率似乎與其他專業零售行業持平。有人認爲,在某些行業中,市銷率是衡量價值的較差指標,但它可以是一個有力的商業信心指標。
我們對分析師對Advance Auto Parts收入前景的預測的研究表明,其較差的收入前景並沒有像我們預期的那樣對市銷率產生負面影響。目前,我們對市銷率沒有信心,因爲預期的未來收入不太可能長期支撐更積極的情緒。像這樣的情況給當前和潛在的投資者帶來了風險,如果低收入增長影響市場情緒,他們可能會看到股價下跌。
別忘了可能還有其他風險。例如,我們已經確定了你應該注意的兩個Advance Auto Parts的警告標誌(其中一個令人擔憂)。
如果您不確定Advance Auto Parts的業務實力,爲什麼不瀏覽我們的互動式股票清單,其中列出了一些您可能錯過的其他公司的業務基礎穩健的股票。