The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as China Railway Tielong Container Logistics (SHSE:600125) Stock Falls a Further 7.5% in Past Week
The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as China Railway Tielong Container Logistics (SHSE:600125) Stock Falls a Further 7.5% in Past Week
For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term China Railway Tielong Container Logistics Co., Ltd (SHSE:600125) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 13% over a half decade. It's down 15% in about a quarter. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 15% in the same timeframe.
對許多人來說,投資的主要目的是獲得比整體市場更高的回報。但主要挑戰在於找到足夠的贏家來彌補輸家,因此我們不會責怪長揸中國鐵龍物流股份有限公司(SHSE:600125)股票的股東對持有決定感到懷疑,因爲股價在半個十年內下跌了13%。在大約一個季度內下跌了15%。然而,有人可能會認爲股價受到了整體市場的影響,同期整體市場下跌了15%。
After losing 7.5% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
在過去的一週中失去了7.5%後,值得調查公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
雖然一些人仍然在教授高效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者不總是理性的。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是比較每股收益 (EPS) 與股價。
During the five years over which the share price declined, China Railway Tielong Container Logistics' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 2.6% each year. In this case, the EPS change is really very close to the share price drop of 3% a year. This suggests that market participants have not changed their view of the company all that much. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.
在股價下跌的五年期間,中國鐵龍物流的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了2.6%。在這種情況下,EPS的變化與每年下跌3%的股價下降非常接近。這表明市場參與者對公司的看法並沒有發生太大變化。相反,股價變化反映了每股收益的變化。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on China Railway Tielong Container Logistics' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
看一下我們關於中國鐵龍物流的收益、營業收入和現金流的免費報告可能非常值得
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, China Railway Tielong Container Logistics' TSR for the last 5 years was -4.5%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮投資回報率時,需要考慮總股東回報率(TSR)和股價回報率之間的區別。 TSR是一種回報率計算,考慮到現金分紅的價值(假設任何分紅都已再投資)以及任何打折資本增發和剝離的計算價值。所以對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR通常比股價回報率高很多。恰好,中國鐵龍物流過去5年的TSR爲-4.5%,超過了之前提到的股價回報率。這主要是其分紅支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While it's never nice to take a loss, China Railway Tielong Container Logistics shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 5.1% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 11%. Given the total loss of 0.9% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - China Railway Tielong Container Logistics has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
雖然遭受虧損從來都不是件好事,但中國鐵龍物流的股東可以安慰的是,在過去十二個月中包括分紅在內,他們的滾動十二個月虧損率爲5.1%,並不像市場虧損約11%那麼糟糕。鑑於過去五年每年總共損失0.9%,似乎回報率在過去十二個月有所惡化。儘管巴倫·羅斯柴爾德確實告訴投資者「當大街上有血的時候要買股票,即使那些血液是你自己的」,買家仍然需要仔細研究數據,以確保企業本身是可靠的。我發現長期以來的股價作爲業務績效的代理非常有趣。但爲了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,冒險 - 中國鐵龍物流有1個我們認爲您應該注意的警示標誌。
We will like China Railway Tielong Container Logistics better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大規模內部買盤,我們會更喜歡中國鐵龍物流。在等待的同時,可以查看這個免費的低估股票名單(主要是小市值股票),其中有相當多最近有內部買盤的股票。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。