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Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's (SHSE:603787) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's (SHSE:603787) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

新日股份(SHSE:603787)的低迷收益可能只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  08/30 19:46

The market rallied behind Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603787) stock, leading do a rise in the share price after its recent weak earnings report. We think that shareholders might be missing some concerning factors that our analysis found.

市場在江蘇新日電動汽車有限公司的支持下上漲。”s(上海證券交易所股票代碼:603787)股票在最近公佈疲軟的業績後股價上漲。我們認爲,股東可能遺漏了我們的分析發現的一些相關因素。

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SHSE:603787 Earnings and Revenue History August 30th 2024
SHSE: 603787 2024 年 8 月 30 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's Earnings

根據江蘇新日電動汽車的收益研究現金流

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長減弱。

For the year to June 2024, Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle had an accrual ratio of 1.17. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥473m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥91.2m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥473m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2024年6月的一年中,江蘇新日電動汽車的應計比率爲1.17。通常,這對未來的盈利能力來說是個壞兆頭。換句話說,該公司在那段時間內沒有產生一點自由現金流。去年,它的自由現金流實際上爲負47300萬元人民幣,而上述利潤爲9120萬元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年現金消耗47300萬元人民幣是否表明存在高風險。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對江蘇新日電動汽車的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's Profit Performance

我們對江蘇新日電動汽車盈利表現的看法

As we discussed above, we think Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 11% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).

正如我們上面討論的那樣,我們認爲江蘇新日電動汽車的收益沒有得到自由現金流的支持,這可能會讓一些投資者感到擔憂。出於這個原因,我們認爲江蘇新日電動汽車的法定利潤可能不利於其潛在盈利能力,並可能給投資者留下過於積極的印象。但是,至少持有人可以從過去三年的每股收益每年增長11%中得到一些安慰。歸根結底,如果你想正確地了解公司,必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。爲此,你應該了解我們在江蘇新日電動汽車上發現的兩個警告標誌(包括一個有點不愉快的警示標誌)。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天,我們放大了單個數據點,以更好地了解江蘇新日電動汽車利潤的性質。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份擁有高股本回報率的公司的免費集合,或者這份內部所有權高的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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