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We Think WH Group (HKG:288) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think WH Group (HKG:288) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲萬洲國際(HKG:288)可以繼續控制其債務
Simply Wall St ·  08/30 19:59

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that WH Group Limited (HKG:288) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李錄(得到查理·芒格支持)曾說:「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」 在評估風險時,考慮公司的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業破產時通常涉及債務。我們注意到,萬洲國際(HKG:288)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還債務,那麼它存在於債權人的控制之下。 最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有。然而,更經常發生的(但仍然代價高昂)情況是,公司必須以低於市價的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東的股權,以維持其資產負債表。當然,很多公司使用債務來支持增長,而沒有任何負面影響。在考慮企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是查看其現金和債務的總體情況。

How Much Debt Does WH Group Carry?

萬洲國際攜帶多少債務?

As you can see below, WH Group had US$3.37b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$1.40b, its net debt is less, at about US$1.98b.

正如您下方所見,截至2024年6月,萬洲國際負債33.7億美元,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更詳細信息。然而,由於其現金儲備爲14億美元,其淨債務較少,約爲19.8億美元。

1725062378061
SEHK:288 Debt to Equity History August 30th 2024
SEHK:288 資產負債歷史數據 2024年8月30日

How Strong Is WH Group's Balance Sheet?

萬洲國際的資產負債表有多堅強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that WH Group had liabilities of US$4.04b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$4.11b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.40b and US$921.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.83b.

仔細觀察最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到萬洲國際有40.4億美元的短期負債和41.1億美元的長期負債。另一方面,它有14億美元現金和92100萬美元應收賬款。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和58.3億美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since WH Group has a huge market capitalization of US$10.3b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

儘管這可能聽起來很多,但這並不太糟糕,因爲萬洲國際的市值達到了103億美元,所以如果需要的話,它可能會通過融資來增強資產負債表。但我們肯定要警惕其債務帶來過高的風險。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了衡量公司相對於其收益的債務情況,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆蓋率)。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量(淨負債與 EBITDA),又考慮到了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。

With net debt sitting at just 1.1 times EBITDA, WH Group is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 10.0 times the interest expense over the last year. In addition to that, we're happy to report that WH Group has boosted its EBIT by 82%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine WH Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

淨債務只有EBITDA的1.1倍,可以說萬洲國際的資本結構相當保守。並且堅實的利息覆蓋率也支持這種觀點,過去一年EBIT是利息費用的10倍。此外,我們很高興地報告,萬洲國際的EBIT增長了82%,從而減少了未來債務償還的風險。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最重要的是,未來的盈利將決定萬洲國際保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,你可能會覺得這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, WH Group recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 84% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

但我們最後要考慮的也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要真金白銀的現金。所以我們明顯需要看一下EBIT是否有相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,萬洲國際錄得的自由現金流相當於其EBIT的84%,這比我們通常預期的要強。這使得它在償還債務方面處於非常強勢的位置。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that WH Group's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at the bigger picture, we think WH Group's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for WH Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

好消息是,WH Group將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力令人如此興奮,就像小孩子喜歡絨毛小狗一樣。但實話實說,我們認爲其總負債水平稍微削弱了這種印象。從更大的角度來看,我們認爲WH Group債務的利用似乎相當合理,我們對此並不擔心。畢竟,明智的槓桿可以提高股東回報率。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個很好的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。例如,我們在對萬洲國際的研究中發現了2個警示信號,您在投資之前應該注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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