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Dell Technologies Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Dell Technologies Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Dell Technologies公司剛剛超越了分析師的預測,並且分析師們已經更新了他們的預測。
Simply Wall St ·  08/31 10:08

As you might know, Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong numbers. Dell Technologies beat earnings, with revenues hitting US$25b, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 15%. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

就像你可能已經知道的那樣,戴爾科技公司(紐交所:DELL)剛剛發佈了最新的季度業績,數字非常強勁。戴爾科技的收入達到了250億美元,超出預期,法定每股收益也比分析師預期高出15%。分析師們通常在每個業績發佈後會更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的預估值中判斷他們對公司的看法有沒有改變,或者是否有任何新的問題需要注意。所以我們收集了最新的公司業績後的預測,看看他們認爲明年會有什麼情況。

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NYSE:DELL Earnings and Revenue Growth August 31st 2024
戴爾科技的紐交所(NYSE:DELL)2024年8月31日的盈利和營業收入增長

Following the latest results, Dell Technologies' 20 analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$97.2b in 2025. This would be a satisfactory 5.9% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$5.72, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$96.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.59 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

根據最新的成果,戴爾科技的20名分析師預測2025年的營業收入將達到972億美元。這相比過去12個月來說是一個令人滿意的5.9%的增長。預計每股收益將爲5.72美元,與過去12個月大致相等。在這個業績之前,分析師們預測2025年的收入爲965億美元,每股收益(EPS)爲5.59美元。從他們的新每股收益預測來看,分析師們似乎對這家企業更加看好了。

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$152, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Dell Technologies at US$220 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$106. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

目前,對於戴爾科技的共識價格目標沒有發生重大變化,爲152美元,這表明改善的每股收益預期不足以對股票估值產生長期正面影響。然而,只關注一個價格目標可能是不明智的,因爲共識目標實際上是分析師價格目標的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡查看估值範圍,以了解對公司估值是否存在不同的觀點。目前,最樂觀的分析師將戴爾科技的估值定爲每股220美元,而最悲觀的估值爲每股106美元。注意分析師價格目標之間的差距嗎?這對我們來說意味着基本業務存在相當廣泛的可能性範圍。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Dell Technologies' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 12% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 1.1% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 7.7% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Dell Technologies is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

我們可以將這些估算數據放在更大背景下進行查看,比如預測與過往表現的對比,以及與行業其他公司相比,預測是更看好還是更看淡。從最新的預測數據來看,戴爾科技的增長速度預計將有顯著加快,預測到2025年底的年化營業收入增長率爲12%,明顯快於過去五年的1.1%的歷史增速。將這一數據與同行業其他公司作比較,他們的年收入增長預計爲7.7%。考慮到營收預期加速增長,很明顯戴爾科技預計將比行業增長快得多。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Dell Technologies following these results. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

這裏最重要的是分析師們調高了每股收益的預期,表明隨着這些結果的出來,他們對戴爾科技的樂觀情緒明顯增加。幸運的是,他們也重申了營收數據,表明其與預期保持一致。此外,我們的數據顯示,營收預計將比整個行業增長更快。一致的目標股價沒有太大變化,顯示出業務的內在價值沒有在最新的估算中發生較大變化。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Dell Technologies. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Dell Technologies analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考慮到這一點,我們不應該過快得出對戴爾科技的結論。長期盈利能力比明年的利潤更加重要。我們有來自多位戴爾科技分析師的預測,延伸至2027年,並您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Dell Technologies that you should be aware of.

不要忘記可能仍存在風險。例如,我們已經確認了戴爾科技的4個警示信號,您應該注意。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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