We Think Hain Celestial Group (NASDAQ:HAIN) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
We Think Hain Celestial Group (NASDAQ:HAIN) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAIN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
伯克希爾哈撒韋(Berkshire Hathaway)背後支持的外部基金經理——李錄(Charlie Munger)毫不掩飾地表示:「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動性,而在於您是否會遭受到永久性的資本損失。」所以當您考慮任何一支股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。我們注意到納斯達克(NASDAQ)上的海恩時富集團(The Hain Celestial Group,Inc.,NASDAQ:HAIN)確實在其資產負債表中有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務造成了多大的風險?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一個企業無力償還其債權人,則存在於他們的恩惠之下。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,更頻繁發生的(但仍然昂貴)情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東的利益,來支撐其資產負債表。然而,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要高回報投資增長資本的企業的極好工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首要任務是審視其現金和債務總額。
What Is Hain Celestial Group's Net Debt?
海恩時富集團的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hain Celestial Group had debt of US$743.9m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$828.4m over a year. On the flip side, it has US$61.8m in cash leading to net debt of about US$682.1m.
下面的圖片詳細顯示了海恩時富集團於2024年6月底的債務爲7,439萬美元,相比一年前的8,284萬美元減少了,同時它擁有6,180萬美元的現金,淨債務約爲6,821萬美元。
How Strong Is Hain Celestial Group's Balance Sheet?
海恩時富集團的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hain Celestial Group had liabilities of US$281.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$893.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$61.8m as well as receivables valued at US$179.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$933.7m.
詳細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到海恩時富集團在12個月內有281.50美元的負債,以及超過這一期限的893.10美元的負債。抵消這些義務,它擁有618.00美元的現金,以及在12個月內到期的17.92美元的應收賬款。所以其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和,達到933.70美元。
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$717.0m, we think shareholders really should watch Hain Celestial Group's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
考慮到這個赤字實際上比該公司的市值717.00美元還要高,我們認爲股東們真的應該關注海恩時富集團的債務水平,就像父母在孩子第一次騎自行車時的關注一樣。假設公司被迫以當前股價籌集資本償還負債,可能需要非常大幅度的稀釋。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
BJ批發俱樂部控股公司的淨債務只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋其利息費用,比例爲12.6倍。因此,我們對其超級保守的債務使用感到相當放心。雖然BJ批發俱樂部控股公司在EBIT方面沒有取得太多進展,但至少其盈利保持穩定。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的切入點。但歸根結底,企業未來的盈利能力將決定BJ批發俱樂部控股公司能否隨着時間的推移加強資產負債表。因此,如果你要關注未來,可以查看一下這份免費的分析報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。
Hain Celestial Group shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.7 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Fortunately, Hain Celestial Group grew its EBIT by 4.2% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hain Celestial Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
海恩時富集團股東面臨着淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率偏高(5.0)以及相對薄弱的利息覆蓋率的雙重打擊,因爲EBIT僅爲利息費用的1.7倍。這裏的債務負擔相當大。幸運的是,海恩時富集團去年的EBIT增長了4.2%,在債務佔收益的相對比例逐漸減少。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時要關注的領域。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定海恩時富集團是否能長期加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的觀點,或許會對這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告感興趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Hain Celestial Group recorded free cash flow worth 53% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我們最終的考慮也是很重要的,因爲一家公司無法用虛假的利潤來還債,它需要真金白銀的現金。所以查看有多少EBIT由自由現金流支持是很值得的。在最近三年中,海恩時富集團記錄的自由現金流價值佔其EBIT的53%,這是正常水平,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅費。這筆真金白銀意味着它可以在需要的時候減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
On the face of it, Hain Celestial Group's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Hain Celestial Group to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Hain Celestial Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
從表面上看,海恩時富集團的總負債水平讓我們對股票感到猶豫不決,它的利息補償能力也不如一年中最繁忙的夜晚一個空無一人的餐館誘人。但好的是,其EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力是一個好兆頭,這讓我們更加樂觀。我們非常清楚地認爲,由於其資產負債表健康狀況,我們認爲海恩時富集團的風險實際上是相當大的。因此,我們對這支股票的警惕程度幾乎與飢餓的小貓對於掉入主人的魚塘中一樣高:一次被咬,兩次怕。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得的債務信息最多。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內——遠非如此。請注意,我們的投資分析中海恩時富集團出現了1個警告信號,你應該知道...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。