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Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's (SHSE:688196) Soft Earnings

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's (SHSE:688196) Soft Earnings

一些投資者可能願意忽視卓越新能(SHSE:688196)的低收益
Simply Wall St ·  08/31 20:08

The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688196), despite the profit numbers being soft. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.

儘管利潤數字疲軟,但市場對龍巖卓越新能源有限公司(SHSE: 688196)最近的收益報告感到滿意。我們認爲,除了收益數字外,投資者可能會考慮一些積極因素。

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SHSE:688196 Earnings and Revenue History September 1st 2024
SHSE: 688196 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 9 月 1 日

A Closer Look At Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's Earnings

仔細看看龍巖卓越新能源的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者尚未聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 「非FCF利潤率」。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,「應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低」。

Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy has an accrual ratio of 0.32 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥28.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥725m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥573m a year ago though, so Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part. One positive for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

截至2024年6月的一年中,龍巖卓越新能源的應計比率爲0.32。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這引發了人們對該利潤數字到底有多有用的質疑。儘管該公司報告的利潤爲2810萬元人民幣,但看一下自由現金流就會發現,去年它實際上消耗了72500萬加元人民幣。但是,我們看到一年前的FCF爲57300萬元人民幣,因此龍巖卓越新能源過去至少能夠產生正的FCF。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。對龍巖卓越新能源股東來說,一個積極因素是,去年的應計比率明顯改善,這使人們有理由相信它未來可能會恢復更強勁的現金轉換。因此,一些股東可能希望在本年度實現更強的現金轉換。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥10m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to June 2024, Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

龍巖卓越新能源的利潤受到不尋常項目的影響,在過去的十二個月中,利潤減少了1000萬元人民幣。如果這是非現金支出,如果現金流保持強勁,本來可以改善應計比率,因此,再加上平淡無奇的應計比率,就不太好了。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤付出代價從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。在截至2024年6月的十二個月中,龍巖卓越新能源有一筆不尋常的巨額物品支出。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤明顯低於原來的水平。

Our Take On Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's Profit Performance

我們對龍巖卓越新能源盈利表現的看法

Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Considering the aforementioned, we think that Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's profits are probably a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability; although we'd be confident in that conclusion if we saw a cleaner set of results. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've found that Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy has 3 warning signs (2 can't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

龍巖卓越新能源看到不尋常的項目壓制了其利潤,這本來可以更容易地顯示出高現金轉化率,但根據其應計比例,龍巖卓越新能源卻沒有這樣做。考慮到上述情況,我們認爲龍巖卓越新能源的利潤可能是其潛在盈利能力的合理反映;儘管如果我們看到更清晰的業績,我們會對這一結論充滿信心。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多分析,了解所涉及的風險至關重要。例如,我們發現龍巖卓越新能源有 3 個警示標誌(2 個不容忽視!)在進行進一步分析之前,這值得你注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲企業的指南。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 「關注資金」,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份擁有高股本回報率的公司的免費集合,或者這份內部所有權高的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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