National Silicon Industry Group Co.,Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
National Silicon Industry Group Co.,Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Shareholders might have noticed that National Silicon Industry Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688126) filed its second-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 2.2% to CN¥14.69 in the past week. It was a pretty negative result overall, with revenues of CN¥845m missing analyst predictions by 3.0%. Worse, the business reported a statutory loss of CN¥0.069 per share, a substantial decline on analyst expectations of a profit. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
股東可能已經注意到滬硅產業(SHSE:688126)上週公佈了其第二季度的業績。市場對此反應不佳,過去一週股價下跌了2.2%,至14.69元人民幣。總體來說,這是一個非常負面的結果,營業收入爲84500萬人民幣,較分析師的預期低了3.0%。更糟糕的是,該公司報告了每股虧損0.069元人民幣,大幅低於分析師對盈利的預期。盈利是投資者重要關注的時間點,他們可以追蹤公司的表現,關注分析師對明年的預測,並觀察市場對該公司的情緒是否發生了變化。鑑於此,我們收集了最新的法定預測,看看分析師對明年的預期。
![1725152806344](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240901/43152657-0-a8583d232be4b093cf448b80cae1a40f.webp/bigjpg)
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from National Silicon Industry GroupLtd's six analysts is for revenues of CN¥3.48b in 2024. This reflects a notable 9.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share losses are expected to creep up to CN¥0.13, on a statutory basis. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥3.80b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.079 in 2024. The analysts have made an abrupt about-face on National Silicon Industry GroupLtd, administering a minor downgrade to to revenue forecasts and slashing the earnings outlook from a profit to loss.
考慮到最新的結果,滬硅產業的六位分析師預測,2024年營收爲34.8億元人民幣。相比過去12個月,這是營收顯著提升了9.4%。每股虧損預計將從法定角度上升至0.13元人民幣。在此報告發布之前,分析師對2024年的營收預測爲38億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲0.079元人民幣。分析師對滬硅產業的評估發生了明顯的變化,將營收預測進行了輕微下調,並將盈利前景從盈利轉爲虧損。
There was no major change to the consensus price target of CN¥14.18, signalling that the business is performing roughly in line with expectations, despite lower earnings per share forecasts. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic National Silicon Industry GroupLtd analyst has a price target of CN¥22.70 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥3.70. As you can see the range of estimates is wide, with the lowest valuation coming in at less than half the most bullish estimate, suggesting there are some strongly diverging views on how analysts think this business will perform. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.
CN¥14.18的共識價目標沒有發生重大變化,表明該公司的表現大致符合預期,儘管每股盈利預測較低。然而,從這些數據中我們可以得出更多結論,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師的目標價時也喜歡考慮估值的範圍。最樂觀的滬硅產業分析師的目標價爲每股22.70元人民幣,而最悲觀的目標價爲每股3.70元人民幣。可以看到,估值範圍很廣,最低估值不到最樂觀估值的一半,這表明分析師對該公司的觀點存在明顯分歧。因此,根據共識價目標做決策可能並不是一個好主意,畢竟共識價目標僅是這一範圍廣泛估值的平均值。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that National Silicon Industry GroupLtd's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 20% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 12% p.a. over the past three years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 22% annually. National Silicon Industry GroupLtd is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.
當然,觀察這些預測的另一種方式是將它們與行業本身進行對比。根據最新預估,從2024年年底開始,滬硅產業集團有限公司的增長速度有望明顯加快,預計每年收入增長20%,明顯快於過去三年平均每年12%的歷史增長率。與同行業其他公司相比,預計其收入將每年增長22%。滬硅產業集團有限公司預計將以與行業大致相同的速度增長,所以我們不能從其相對競爭對手的增長中得出任何結論。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts are expecting National Silicon Industry GroupLtd to become unprofitable next year. They also downgraded their revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最重要的是,分析師們預計滬硅產業集團有限公司明年將陷入虧損。儘管如前所述,預估的增長只有與整個行業大致相同,但對其營收預估進行了下調。共識價格目標沒有實質性變化,這表明公司的內在價值在最新的預估中沒有發生重大變化。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple National Silicon Industry GroupLtd analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年更爲重要。我們對滬硅產業集團有限公司的分析師們的預測一直延伸到2026年,您可以在我們的平台上自由查看。
You can also see our analysis of National Silicon Industry GroupLtd's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.
您還可以在我們的平台上查看有關滬硅產業集團有限公司董事會和首席執行官的報酬和經驗的分析,以及公司內部人是否一直在購買股票。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。