Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Co., Ltd (SHSE:600165) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 37% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 1.8x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Has Been Performing
For instance, Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.5% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 85% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's P/S?
Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our look into Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology has shown that it currently trades on a higher than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider industry forecast. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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