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37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group's (SZSE:002555) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group's (SZSE:002555) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

三七互娛(SZSE:002555)的利潤似乎存在質量問題
Simply Wall St ·  09/02 03:05

Following the solid earnings report from 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002555), the market responded by bidding up the stock price. However, we think that shareholders should be cautious as we found some worrying factors underlying the profit.

繼三七互動娛樂網絡科技集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002555)發佈穩健的收益報告之後,市場的回應是提高了股價。但是,我們認爲股東應謹慎行事,因爲我們發現了利潤背後的一些令人擔憂的因素。

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SZSE:002555 Earnings and Revenue History September 2nd 2024
SZSE: 002555 2024 年 9 月 2 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group's Earnings

根據37互動娛樂網絡技術集團的收益研究現金流

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長減弱。

For the year to June 2024, 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group had an accrual ratio of 0.21. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥1.4b, which is significantly less than its profit of CN¥2.70b. 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits. The good news for shareholders is that 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

在截至2024年6月的一年中,37互動娛樂網絡技術集團的應計比率爲0.21。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠低於其報告的利潤。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲14元人民幣,大大低於其27元人民幣的利潤。37互動娛樂網絡科技集團的自由現金流實際上在去年有所下降,但明年可能會反彈,因爲自由現金流通常比會計利潤更具波動性。對股東來說,好消息是37互動娛樂網絡科技集團去年的應計比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕數據可能只是利潤與FCF之間短期不匹配的例子。因此,一些股東可能希望在本年度實現更強的現金轉換。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group's Profit Performance

我們對37互動娛樂網絡科技集團盈利表現的看法

37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 36% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be familiar with.

37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group過去十二個月的應計比率表明現金轉換率不理想,從我們對收益的看法來看,這是負數。因此,在我們看來,三七互動娛樂網絡科技集團的真正潛在盈利能力實際上可能低於其法定利潤。但是,至少持有人可以從過去三年的每股收益每年增長36%中得到一些安慰。歸根結底,如果你想正確地了解公司,必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮37互動娛樂網絡技術集團目前面臨的風險同樣重要。例如,我們已經確定了37個互動娛樂網絡技術集團的2個警告標誌(其中一個有點不愉快),你應該熟悉。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天,我們放大了單個數據點,以更好地了解37互動娛樂網絡技術集團利潤的性質。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 「關注資金」,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份擁有大量內幕持股的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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