Zhejiang Extek Technology's (SZSE:301399) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
Zhejiang Extek Technology's (SZSE:301399) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
The subdued market reaction suggests that Zhejiang Extek Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301399) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.
市場反應溫和表明浙江愛爾康科技股份有限公司(SZSE:301399)最近的收益沒有包含任何意外。我們的分析表明,除了盈利數字不濟,投資者還應意識到數字中存在其他潛在的弱點。
Examining Cashflow Against Zhejiang Extek Technology's Earnings
檢查現金流與浙江愛爾康科技的收益
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
許多投資者沒有聽說過來自現金流的計提比率,但實際上它是衡量公司利潤在給定期間內如何得到自由現金流(FCF)支持的有用指標。該計提比率從給定期間的FCF中減去利潤,然後將結果除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。您可將來自現金流的計提比率視爲「非FCF利潤比率」。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
這意味着負的計提比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然擁有正的計提比率毫無問題,表明某種程度的非現金利潤,但高的計提比率則是一個壞信號,因爲這表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,高的計提比率對近期利潤總體上是一個壞兆頭。
For the year to June 2024, Zhejiang Extek Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.36. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥66m despite its profit of CN¥89.4m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Zhejiang Extek Technology generated positive FCF of CN¥17m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
截至2024年6月的一年,浙江愛爾康科技的應計比率爲0.36。因此,我們知道其自由現金流明顯低於其法定利潤,這引發了有關該利潤數字實際上有多少用處的疑問。在過去的十二個月中,儘管其盈利爲8940萬元人民幣,但其實際上出現了負自由現金流,流出金額爲6600萬元人民幣。值得注意的是,浙江愛爾康科技在一年前實際上產生了1700萬元人民幣的正自由現金流,所以至少他們以前曾經做到過。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Extek Technology.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對浙江愛爾康科技資產負債表分析的鏈接。
Our Take On Zhejiang Extek Technology's Profit Performance
我們對浙江Extek Technology的利潤表現持有觀點
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Zhejiang Extek Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Zhejiang Extek Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Zhejiang Extek Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Extek Technology (2 are a bit concerning!) and we strongly recommend you look at these bad boys before investing.
正如我們已經明確指出的那樣,我們有點擔心浙江Extek Technology沒有用自由現金流支撐起去年的利潤。因此,我們認爲浙江Extek Technology的核心收益可能不是它的法定利潤的好指標,並且可能給投資者留下過於積極的印象。不幸的是,其每股收益在過去的十二個月有所下降。本文的目標是評估我們能否依靠法定盈利來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多值得考慮的因素。如果您想深入了解浙江Extek Technology,您還需要了解它目前面臨的風險。我們的分析顯示浙江Extek Technology有3個警示信號(其中有2個有點令人擔憂!),我們強烈建議您在投資前查看這些信息。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Zhejiang Extek Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天我們重點關注了一個數據點,以更好地了解浙江Extek Technology的利潤情況。但是還有很多其他方法可以評估一家公司。例如,許多人認爲高股權回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而其他人則喜歡「跟隨資金」,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。儘管這可能需要您自己進行一些調查研究,但您可能會發現這個擁有高股權回報率的公司集合或者這個具有顯著內部持股的股票清單對您有所幫助。
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