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Why Hootech's (SZSE:301026) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Why Hootech's (SZSE:301026) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

爲什麼Hootech(SZSE:301026)的收益比看起來更好
Simply Wall St ·  2024/09/02 15:26

Investors signalled that they were pleased with Hootech Inc.'s (SZSE:301026) most recent earnings report. According to our analysis of the report, the strong headline profit numbers are supported by strong earnings fundamentals.

投資者表示對Hootech Inc.(SZSE:301026)最近的盈利報告感到滿意。根據我們對報告的分析,強勁的利潤數字得到了強勁的盈利基本面的支持。

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SZSE:301026 Earnings and Revenue History September 2nd 2024
SZSE:301026盈利和營收歷史2024年9月2日

A Closer Look At Hootech's Earnings

更詳細地了解Hootech的盈利情況

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高端金融領域,用來衡量公司將報告利潤轉爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是來自現金流的應計比率。爲了得到應計比率,我們首先計算某一時期的FCF和利潤之差,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均經營資產。可以將來自現金流的應計比率視爲「非FCF獲利比率」。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負面預提比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司所獲得的自由現金流比其利潤所示的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正面的預提比率,但值得注意的是,如果預提比率很高的話就要考慮這個問題。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文:「預提較高的公司未來的盈利能力較低」。

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Hootech recorded an accrual ratio of -0.24. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥498m, well over the CN¥127.6m it reported in profit. Notably, Hootech had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥498m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2024年6月的十二個月中,Hootech的應計比率爲-0.24。這意味着它具有非常好的現金轉化率,並且在過去一年中,其盈利實際上明顯低估了其自由現金流。事實上,在過去十二個月中,它報告了49800萬元的自由現金流,遠遠超過了其報告的12760萬元的利潤。值得注意的是,Hootech去年的自由現金流是負的,所以今年產生的49800萬元是一個令人欣喜的改善。然而,這並不是考慮的全部。我們可以看到,非常規項目影響了其法定利潤,因此也影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hootech.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強勢。點擊這裏查看我們對Hootech的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。

Hootech's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥28m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Hootech to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Hootech最近12個月的利潤因2800萬人民幣的非常項減少,這使其產生了很高的現金轉換率,正如其非常項所反映的那樣。在這種情況下,如果這些非常項包括非現金費用,我們會預計會看到較高的應計比率,這正是在這個案例中發生的情況。看到非常項給公司造成了損失並不好,但好的一面是,事情可能比預期的早些改善。我們觀察了成千上萬家上市公司,發現非常項很常見是一次性的。畢竟,這正是會計術語所暗示的。假設這些非常費用不會再次出現,其他條件不變,我們可以預期Hootech在明年產生更高的利潤。

Our Take On Hootech's Profit Performance

我們對Hootech的利潤表現的看法

In conclusion, both Hootech's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. After considering all this, we reckon Hootech's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Hootech at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Hootech you should be mindful of and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

總而言之,Hootech的應計比率和非常項表明其法定收益可能是相當保守的。 綜合考慮所有這些,我們認爲Hootech的法定利潤可能低估了其盈利潛力! 因此,儘管盈利質量很重要,但同樣重要的是考慮目前Hootech面臨的風險。 事實證明:我們發現Hootech存在4個預警信號,您應該注意其中之一。

After our examination into the nature of Hootech's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

經過我們對Hootech利潤的調查,我們對該公司持樂觀態度。但是,了解一個公司的觀點還有許多其他方法。有些人認爲股東權益回報率很高是一個優質企業的好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這些擁有高股權回報率的公司,或者擁有高內部持股的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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