Here's Why Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd (SHSE:601216) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd (SHSE:601216) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601216) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
大衛·伊本說得好,他說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所代碼:601216)確實在其業務中使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人的債務,那麼債務就任其擺佈。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's Debt?
內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司的債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd had CN¥6.03b of debt, an increase on CN¥2.82b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥4.02b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.00b.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年6月,內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司在一年內有60.3元人民幣的債務,比28.2元人民幣增加。但是,它也有40.2元人民幣的現金,因此其淨負債爲20元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?
內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥9.88b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥5.31b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.02b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.87b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥9.29b.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司的負債爲98.8元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲53.1元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有價值爲18.7元人民幣的現金和價值18.7元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額92.9元人民幣。
This deficit isn't so bad because Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd is worth CN¥32.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
這種赤字還不錯,因爲內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司的市值爲324元人民幣,因此如果有需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。
Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.48. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. On the other hand, Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's EBIT dived 15%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率僅爲0.48。值得注意的是,儘管有淨負債,但它在過去十二個月中獲得的利息實際上超過了必須支付的利息。因此,可以公平地說,它可以像炙手可熱的鐵板燒廚師處理烹飪一樣處理債務。另一方面,內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司的息稅前利潤比去年下降了15%。我們認爲,這種表現如果經常重演,很可能會給股票帶來困難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 51% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究該息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去三年中,內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的51%,與我們的預期差不多。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to grow its EBIT. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd you should know about.
在此分析中,內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司的利息保障確實是積極的,其淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比例也是如此。相比之下,我們的信心因其明顯難以增加息稅前利潤而受到削弱。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,我們對內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司的債務使用確實有些謹慎。儘管我們意識到債務可以提高股本回報率,但我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平,以免債務增加。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的內蒙古君正能源化工集團有限公司的警告標誌。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。