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Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media (SHSE:601928) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media (SHSE:601928) Could Easily Take On More Debt

江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒(SHSE:601928)可以輕鬆承擔更多債務。
Simply Wall St ·  09/02 19:40

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation Limited (SHSE:601928) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄在說'最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失'時毫不掩飾。因此,當你考慮任何特定股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家企業。我們注意到江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒股份有限公司(SHSE:601928)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務造成了多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但是如果一個企業無力償還債務,那麼它就要接受債權人的支配。如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東最終可能一無所獲。然而,更爲常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,公司需要以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久性稀釋股東的權益。儘管這麼說,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務並從中受益。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務結合起來。

What Is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's Debt?

江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media had debt of CN¥49.9m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥96.1m over a year. However, it does have CN¥9.05b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥9.00b.

下面的圖片顯示,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒在2024年6月底的債務爲4990萬人民幣,比一年前的9610萬人民幣有所減少。然而,它確實有90.5億人民幣的現金抵消這一債務,導致淨現金爲90億人民幣。

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SHSE:601928 Debt to Equity History September 2nd 2024
SHSE:601928債務與股本歷史 2024年9月2日

How Healthy Is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's Balance Sheet?

江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的資產負債表健康嗎?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media had liabilities of CN¥10.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.30b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥9.05b and CN¥1.80b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.31b.

根據最近披露的資產負債表,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒有109億元的短期負債,以及130億元的長期負債。另一方面,它擁有90.5億元現金和18億元年內應收賬款。因此,其負債比其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和多131億元。

Since publicly traded Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media shares are worth a total of CN¥27.1b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

由於江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的上市股份總值271億元,似乎這個水平的負債不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,顯然我們應繼續監控其資產負債表,以防情況惡化。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的現金多於債務,所以我們相當有信心它能夠安全地管理其債務。

The good news is that Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media has increased its EBIT by 4.7% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

好消息是,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒過去12個月內將其息稅前利潤(EBIt)增加了4.7%,這應該能緩解人們對償還債務的擔憂。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒能否隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師利潤預測的這份免費報道很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最後,一家企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。儘管江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的資產負債表上有淨現金,但值得一看的是它將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它是如何快速積累(或侵蝕)現金餘額的。令股東欣慰的是,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒過去三年實際上產生的自由現金流比息稅前利潤多。這種強勁的現金產生能力讓我們如同看到一隻穿着蜜蜂服的小狗一樣,觸動了我們的心絃。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media has CN¥9.00b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 117% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.0b. So is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

儘管查看公司的總負債是明智的,但江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒擁有90億人民幣的淨現金,這讓人感到非常安心。此外,它將EBIT的117%轉化爲自由現金流,達到了10億人民幣。那麼,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的債務風險是不是存在呢?對我們來說,似乎並不存在。毫無疑問,從資產負債表上了解債務是最好的途徑。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內,相反,存在於其之外的。舉一個例子:我們發現了江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的2個警告信號,您應該知悉,其中1個不容忽視。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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