With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the Airlines industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Air China Limited's (HKG:753) P/S ratio of 0.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Air China's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Air China certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Air China's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Air China's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 82%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 108% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 7.5% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 6.1% each year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we can see why Air China is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Air China's P/S
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've seen that Air China maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Air China, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Air China's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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