Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's (SZSE:000692) Performance Raises Some Questions
Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's (SZSE:000692) Performance Raises Some Questions
Despite posting strong earnings, Shenyang Huitian Thermal Power Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000692) stock didn't move much over the last week. We looked deeper into the numbers and found that shareholders might be concerned with some underlying weaknesses.
儘管深圳惠天熱電股份有限公司(SZSE:000692)的股票在上週沒有太大波動,但盈利強勁。我們深入研究了數據,發現股東們可能對某些潛在的弱點感到擔憂。

Examining Cashflow Against Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's Earnings
對比惠天熱電股份有限公司的現金流與收益
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
很多投資者並不了解從現金流量表中計算的預付賬款率,但它實際上是衡量公司利潤由自由現金流(FCF)支撐情況的有用指標。簡單地講,這個比率將自由現金流(FCF)從淨利潤中減去,然後除以該期間公司的平均營運資產。這一比率告訴我們公司多少利潤不由自由現金流支撐。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,一家公司有負應計比率實際上是一件好事,但是如果它的應計比率爲正,那是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,如果應計比率相當高,有一些學術證據表明,這是一個不利於近期利潤的壞跡象。
Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.54 for the year to June 2024. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥387m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of CN¥1.10b. Notably, Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥387m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.
截至2024年6月,深圳惠天熱電股份有限公司的準現率爲0.54。因此,其自由現金流比利潤要弱得多,從統計上來看,這對未來的盈利是一個真正的負面影響。據統計,在這一時期,它的自由現金流爲CN¥38700萬,遠遠低於其報告的CN¥11億的利潤。值得注意的是,深圳惠天熱電股份有限公司去年的自由現金流爲負值,因此,今年產生的CN¥38700萬是一個令人欣慰的改善。儘管如此,故事還未完全結束。我們可以看到,異常項目對其公告利潤以及準現率產生了影響。對於深圳惠天熱電股份有限公司的股東來說,一個積極的方面是去年它的準現率要好得多,這表明它可能在未來恢復更強大的現金轉換能力。因此,某些股東可能正在尋求本年度更強大的現金轉換能力。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對瀋陽惠天熱電股份有限公司資產負債表的分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥1.8b, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
事實上,上年度該公司意外項使利潤增加了18億人民幣,這可能在一定程度上解釋了爲什麼它的應計比率如此低。雖然盈利增加總是好的,但來自意外項的大幅貢獻有時會抑制我們的熱情。當我們對成千上萬家上市公司進行數據分析時,我們發現一年中意外項的提升通常不會在下一年重複出現。這是符合預期的,因爲這些增益被描述爲「意外」的。瀋陽惠天熱電有限公司在2024年6月以前的利潤中,相對於其利潤來說,意外項的貢獻相當顯著。其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會導致該公司的法定利潤對基本盈利能力的指導不佳。
Our Take On Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd's Profit Performance
對瀋陽惠天熱電股份有限公司利潤表現的我們的看法
Summing up, Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd'sunderlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. If you want to do dive deeper into Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Shenyang Huitian Thermal PowerLtd.
總結一下,瀋陽惠天熱電股份有限公司從意外項中獲得了盈利的大幅提升,但無法將紙面利潤與自由現金流相匹配。經過反思,以上因素給我們留下了強烈的印象:根據法定盈利數據,瀋陽惠天熱電股份有限公司的基本盈利能力似乎並不像看上去那樣好。如果您想深入了解瀋陽惠天熱電股份有限公司,您還應該了解其目前面臨的風險。爲了幫助您,我們發現了3個警示信號(其中2個令我們不安!),在購買瀋陽惠天熱電股份有限公司的任何股票之前,您應該知道這些信號。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在本文中,我們展示了影響利潤數字的各種因素,並謹慎對待。但是,還有很多其他方法可以了解公司的情況。有些人認爲高回報股本回報率是一家優質企業的好跡象。雖然可能需要您自己進行一些研究,但您可能會發現此免費收藏的公司以高股本回報率爲榮,或此持有重要內部股份的股票清單可能會有所幫助。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。