With EPS Growth And More, American Express (NYSE:AXP) Makes An Interesting Case
With EPS Growth And More, American Express (NYSE:AXP) Makes An Interesting Case
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.
對於有些投機者,投資能扭轉乾坤的公司的興奮是一個巨大的吸引力,即使這些公司沒有營業收入、沒有利潤,而且業績總是開空,也能找到投資者。但正如彼得·林奇在《華爾街之上》中所說,「長槍影響幾乎從來不會收益」。虧損的公司可能會像資本海綿一樣,吸乾投資者的資金,所以投資者應該謹慎,不要將好錢投向壞錢後面。
Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like American Express (NYSE:AXP). While this doesn't necessarily speak to whether it's undervalued, the profitability of the business is enough to warrant some appreciation - especially if its growing.
儘管處於科技股藍天投資的時代,但許多投資者仍採用更傳統的策略,購買像美國運通(紐交所:AXP)這樣的盈利公司的股票。雖然這並不一定意味着它被低估,但業務的盈利能力足以引起一些欣賞 - 尤其是如果它持續增長。
American Express' Earnings Per Share Are Growing
美國運通的每股收益正在增長
If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. Over the last three years, American Express has grown EPS by 17% per year. That growth rate is fairly good, assuming the company can keep it up.
如果您相信市場即使是稍微有效的,那麼從長遠來看,您預期公司的股價會跟隨其每股收益(EPS)結果。因此,有很多投資者喜歡購買EPS增長的公司股票。在過去三年中,美國運通的EPS年均增長17%。假設公司能夠保持這種增長率,那將是相當不錯的。
One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. It's noted that American Express' revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort our analysis of its margins. EBIT margins for American Express remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 9.6% to US$58b. That's a real positive.
檢查一家公司增長的一種方法是查看其營業收入和利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)利潤率的變化。值得注意的是,美國運通的營業收入較過去十二個月有所下降,所以這可能會扭曲我們對其利潤率的分析。然而,美國運通的EBIT利潤率在過去一年中基本保持不變,而公司應該對報告期內9.6%的營業收入增長至580億美元感到滿意。這是一個真正的積極信號。
You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.
以下圖表展示了該公司營業收入和盈利增長的趨勢。單擊圖表可以查看準確數字。
Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of American Express' future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.
幸運的是,我們可以訪問美國運通未來利潤的分析師預測。您可以自行進行預測,也可以看看專業人士的預測。
Are American Express Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?
美國運通內部人持股與所有股東一致嗎?
Since American Express has a market capitalisation of US$184b, we wouldn't expect insiders to hold a large percentage of shares. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. Indeed, they have a considerable amount of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$234m. We note that this amounts to 0.1% of the company, which may be small owing to the sheer size of American Express but it's still worth mentioning. So despite their percentage holding being low, company management still have plenty of reasons to deliver the best outcomes for investors.
由於美國運通的市值爲1840億美元,我們不會指望內部人士持有大量股份。但值得安慰的是,他們在該公司投資了。事實上,他們在其中投資了相當可觀的財富,目前價值23400萬美元。我們注意到,這佔該公司的0.1%,可能由於美國運通的規模龐大而較小,但仍值得一提。因此,儘管他們持有的百分比較低,公司管理層仍有足夠的理由爲投資者提供最佳結果。
Should You Add American Express To Your Watchlist?
您應將美國運通加入自選嗎?
One positive for American Express is that it is growing EPS. That's nice to see. If that's not enough on its own, there is also the rather notable levels of insider ownership. The combination definitely favoured by investors so consider keeping the company on a watchlist. Once you've identified a business you like, the next step is to consider what you think it's worth. And right now is your chance to view our exclusive discounted cashflow valuation of American Express. You might benefit from giving it a glance today.
美國運通的一個優點是它的每股收益正在增長。這是個好消息。如果這本身還不足夠,還有相當顯著的內部所有權水平。這種組合肯定受到投資者的青睞,因此考慮將公司留在自選中。一旦您找到喜歡的業務,下一步是考慮您認爲它值多少錢。現在就是查看我們對美國運通獨家折現現金流估值的機會。今天瀏覽可能會帶來好處。
There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a tailored list of companies which have demonstrated growth backed by significant insider holdings.
總是有可能買入未增長收益並且內部人員不買入股票的股票表現良好。但是對於那些認爲這些重要指數的人,我們鼓勵您查看具有這些功能的公司。您可以訪問定製列表,其中列出了已經展示出增長並得到內幕人員認可的公司。
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
請注意,本文討論的內部交易是指在相關司法管轄區中報告的交易。
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