At US$44.55, Is FormFactor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORM) Worth Looking At Closely?
At US$44.55, Is FormFactor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORM) Worth Looking At Closely?
FormFactor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORM), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NASDAQGS over the last few months, increasing to US$62.22 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$40.90. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether FormFactor's current trading price of US$44.55 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at FormFactor's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
FormFactor, Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:FORM)並不是目前最大的公司,但它在過去幾個月中因納斯達克證券交易所的價格大幅波動而受到廣泛關注,一度上漲至62.22美元,跌至40.90美元的低點。一些股價走勢可以爲投資者提供更好的入股機會,並有可能以較低的價格買入。需要回答的問題是,FormFactor目前的44.55美元交易價格是否反映了中型股的實際價值?還是它目前的估值被低估了,爲我們提供了買入的機會?讓我們根據最新的財務數據來看看FormFactor的前景和價值,看看是否有任何價格變動的催化劑。
Is FormFactor Still Cheap?
FormFactor 還便宜嗎?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. We've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 28.4x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers' ratio of 27.19x, which means if you buy FormFactor today, you'd be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that FormFactor should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since FormFactor's share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
根據我們的多重定價模型,我們將公司的市盈率與行業平均水平進行比較,目前的股價似乎是明智的。我們在這個例子中使用市盈率是因爲沒有足夠的可見性來預測其現金流。該股28.4倍的股價目前的交易價格略高於其行業同行27.19倍的比率,這意味着如果您今天購買FormFactor,您將爲此支付相對合理的價格。而且,如果您認爲從長遠來看,FormFactor應該在這個水平上交易,那麼與其他行業同行相比,應該只會有相當微不足道的下行空間。未來還有其他低價買入的機會嗎?由於FormFactor的股價波動很大,我們可能會看到它在未來下跌(或上漲),這給了我們另一個買入的機會。這是基於其較高的貝塔值,這是一個很好的指標,可以很好地衡量股票相對於其他市場的波動幅度。
What kind of growth will FormFactor generate?
FormFactor 將帶來什麼樣的增長?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a negative profit growth of -7.5% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn't appear to be a driver for a buy decision for FormFactor. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
尋求投資組合增長的投資者可能需要在購買公司股票之前考慮公司的前景。儘管價值投資者會爭辯說,最重要的是相對於價格的內在價值,但更有說服力的投資論點是以低廉的價格獲得高增長潛力。但是,預計未來幾年利潤將出現負增長-7.5%,因此短期增長顯然不是FormFactor做出買入決定的驅動力。這種確定性使風險回報規模朝着更高的風險方向發展。
What This Means For You
這對你意味着什麼
Are you a shareholder? FORM seems priced close to industry peers right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on FORM, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
你是股東嗎?目前,ForM的價格似乎與業內同行接近,但鑑於未來負回報帶來的不確定性,這可能是降低投資組合風險的合適時機。您目前的股票敞口是否最適合您的整個投資組合?持有負面展望股票的機會成本是否過高?在你對Form做出決定之前,先看看它的基本面是否發生了變化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on FORM for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there's less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help crystallize your views on FORM should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.
你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果您關注Form已有一段時間,那麼鑑於Form的交易價格約爲行業倍數,現在可能不是最佳的買入時機。這意味着錯誤定價帶來的好處較少。此外,負增長前景增加了持有股票的風險。但是,我們今天還沒有考慮其他重要因素,如果價格波動低於行業市盈率,這些因素可以幫助您明確對ForM的看法。
Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for FormFactor you should be aware of.
請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了兩個你應該注意的FormFactor警告信號。
If you are no longer interested in FormFactor, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您不再對FormFactor感興趣,可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們列出的其他50多隻具有高增長潛力的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。