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Should Weakness in CIMC Enric Holdings Limited's (HKG:3899) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Should Weakness in CIMC Enric Holdings Limited's (HKG:3899) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

中集安瑞科控股有限公司(HKG:3899)的股價下跌,是否意味着市場會根據良好的財務狀況對股價進行修復?
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 18:23

With its stock down 22% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard CIMC Enric Holdings (HKG:3899). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on CIMC Enric Holdings' ROE.

中集安瑞科控股(HKG: 3899)在過去三個月中下跌了22%,很容易被忽視。但是,從長遠來看,股票價格通常由公司的財務狀況驅動,在這種情況下,這看起來相當可觀。在本文中,我們決定重點關注中集安瑞科控股的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CIMC Enric Holdings is:

因此,根據上述公式,中集安瑞科控股的投資回報率爲:

8.8% = CN¥1.1b ÷ CN¥12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

8.8% = 11元人民幣 ÷ 120元人民幣(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.09 in profit.

「回報」 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。這意味着,每獲得價值1港元的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.09港元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 「保留」 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

A Side By Side comparison of CIMC Enric Holdings' Earnings Growth And 8.8% ROE

中集安瑞科控股的收益增長和8.8%的投資回報率的並排比較

On the face of it, CIMC Enric Holdings' ROE is not much to talk about. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 12%. CIMC Enric Holdings was still able to see a decent net income growth of 8.9% over the past five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

從表面上看,中集安瑞科控股的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。然後,我們將該公司的投資回報率與整個行業進行了比較,但對投資回報率低於12%的行業平均水平感到失望。在過去五年中,中集安瑞科控股仍然能夠實現8.9%的不錯的淨收入增長。因此,可能還有其他方面對公司的收益增長產生積極影響。例如,公司的管理層可能做出了一些良好的戰略決策,或者公司的派息率很低。

We then performed a comparison between CIMC Enric Holdings' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 8.9% in the same 5-year period.

然後,我們將中集安瑞科控股的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,結果顯示該公司的增長與5年同期8.9%的行業平均增長率相似。

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SEHK:3899 Past Earnings Growth September 4th 2024
SEHK: 3899 過去的收益增長 2024 年 9 月 4 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 3899? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。市場在未來展望中是否定價爲3899?你可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。

Is CIMC Enric Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中集安瑞科控股是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

CIMC Enric Holdings has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 37% (or a retention ratio of 63%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

CIMC Enric Holdings的三年派息率中位數爲37%(或63%的留存率),以及可觀的收益增長,如上所示,這意味着該公司一直在有效利用其利潤。

Moreover, CIMC Enric Holdings is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 50% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for CIMC Enric Holdings is speculated to rise to 12% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

此外,中集安瑞科控股決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是我們從其支付股息至少十年的長期歷史中推斷出來的。從目前的分析師共識數據來看,我們可以看到,該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年內升至50%。無論如何,儘管預計派息率將增加,但中集安瑞科控股的未來投資回報率預計將升至12%。可能還有其他因素可能推動投資回報率的未來增長。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we do feel that CIMC Enric Holdings has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們確實認爲中集安瑞科控股有一些積極的屬性。儘管投資回報率很低,但由於再投資率很高,該公司的收益實現了可觀的增長。既然如此,分析師的最新預測顯示,該公司的收益將繼續增長。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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