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HengbaoLtd's (SZSE:002104) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

HengbaoLtd's (SZSE:002104) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

恒寶有限公司(SZSE:002104)的業績低迷並不完全反映整體情況
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 18:25

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Hengbao Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002104) lackluster earnings report last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

上週恒寶股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002104)發佈的營收報告未能引起股東的擔憂。我們的分析表明,儘管利潤較低,但業務基礎依然堅實。

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SZSE:002104 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024
深圳證券交易所:002104 收益和營收歷史記錄 2024年9月4日

A Closer Look At HengbaoLtd's Earnings

對恒寶股份有限公司的盈利進行更詳細的分析

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者沒有聽說過來自現金流的計提比率,但實際上它是衡量公司利潤在給定期間內如何得到自由現金流(FCF)支持的有用指標。該計提比率從給定期間的FCF中減去利潤,然後將結果除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。您可將來自現金流的計提比率視爲「非FCF利潤比率」。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負的應計利潤率對公司來說是積極的,而正的應計利潤率則是負面的。雖然有正的應計利潤率不是問題,表示某種程度的非現金利潤,但高的應計利潤率可能是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇論文:「具有更高應計利潤的公司未來 tend to be less profitable。」

For the year to June 2024, HengbaoLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.11. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥239m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥122.8m. HengbaoLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

截至2024年6月,恒寶股份有限公司的應計比率爲-0.11。因此,其法定盈利遠小於其自由現金流。實際上,去年自由現金流爲2,3900萬人民幣,遠大於其法定利潤1,2280萬人民幣。恒寶股份有限公司的自由現金流在過去一年有所改善,這是一個好的跡象。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of HengbaoLtd.

注:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊此處可以查看我們對恒寶股份有限公司資產負債表的分析。

Our Take On HengbaoLtd's Profit Performance

我們對恒寶有限公司的盈利表現有以下看法

HengbaoLtd's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think HengbaoLtd's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of HengbaoLtd.

恒寶有限公司的準確認收比率非常穩定,表明有強勁的自由現金流,正如我們之前所討論的。因此,我們認爲恒寶有限公司的盈利潛力至少和看上去一樣好,甚至可能更好!然而,在過去的12個月裏,它的每股收益實際上有所下降。當然,我們在分析盈利方面只是皮毛;其他因素包括利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等也需要考慮。所以,如果您想更深入地了解這隻股票,必須要考慮到它所面臨的任何風險。例如,我們發現了1個警示信號,您應該仔細觀察,以便更好地了解恒寶有限公司的情況。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of HengbaoLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天,我們聚焦了一個單一的數據點,以更好地了解恒寶有限公司的盈利性質。但是,還有很多其他方法可以了解一個公司。有人認爲良好的淨資產收益率是一個高質量企業的一個好跡象。雖然這可能需要您做一些調查研究,但您可能會發現此免費公司組合提供了擁有高淨資產收益率的公司,或者此擁有重要內部持股的股票清單對您有所幫助。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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