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DorightLtd's (SZSE:300950) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

DorightLtd's (SZSE:300950) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

DorightLtd(深圳證券交易所:300950)的穩定收益可能建立在脆弱的基礎之上
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 18:23

The market shrugged off Doright Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300950) solid earnings report. We did some digging and believe investors may be worried about some underlying factors in the report.

市場對多來公司(SZSE:300950)的穩健盈利報告置之不理。我們進行了一些調查,認爲投資者可能對報告中的一些潛在因素感到擔憂。

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SZSE:300950 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024
SZSE:300950的盈利和營業收入歷史(2024年9月4日)

Examining Cashflow Against DorightLtd's Earnings

對多來有限公司的現金流進行檢查與盈利狀況

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融領域,用於衡量公司將其報告利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是從現金流量中計算的應計率。簡單點來說,這個比率從淨利潤中減去自由現金流,然後將這個數字除以公司在那段時間內的平均營業資產。從現金流來看,你可以把它看作是「非FCF利潤率」。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當一個公司有一個負的應計比率時,實際上是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率是正的,那就是一件壞事。雖然有一個正的應計比率並不是一個問題,表明了一定程度的非現金利潤,但高的應計比率則是一個壞事,因爲它表明紙上的利潤不與現金流匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的論文,「應計比率更高的公司未來的盈利能力往往更低。」

For the year to June 2024, DorightLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.41. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥86m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥75.6m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥86m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2024年6月的年度數據顯示,多來有限公司的負債比例爲0.41。一般而言,這對未來的盈利能力不利。事實上,在該期間公司根本沒有產生任何自由現金流。去年,它的自由現金流實際上是負值8600萬人民幣,與上述的7560萬人民幣盈利相比形成鮮明對比。從去年的負自由現金流來看,我們可以想象一些股東可能會想知道今年的現金燃燒8600萬人民幣是否意味着高風險。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of DorightLtd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對多來有限公司的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On DorightLtd's Profit Performance

我們對DorightLtd的利潤表現的看法

As we discussed above, we think DorightLtd's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that DorightLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 8.8% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, DorightLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

正如我們上面討論的,我們認爲DorightLtd的收益並未得到自由現金流的支持,這可能會引起一些投資者的擔憂。基於這個原因,我們認爲DorightLtd的法定利潤可能並不是其潛在盈利能力的良好指引,可能會讓投資者對公司產生過分樂觀的印象。但至少持有者可以從過去三年每股收益增長8.8%中獲得一些安慰。最終,如果您想正確了解公司,就必須考慮不僅僅是上述因素。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意涉及的風險。例如,我們認爲DorightLtd有2個警告信號(其中1個是重要的),我們認爲您應該了解這些。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of DorightLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

本說明僅研究了揭示DorightLtd利潤性質的一個因素。但是,如果您能夠把注意力集中在細枝末節上,總能發現更多。例如,許多人認爲股本回報率高意味着良好的商業經濟狀況,而其他人則喜歡「跟隨資金」並尋找內部人在買入的股票。雖然可能需要您做些研究,但您可能會發現這個免費收藏高股本回報率公司的系列,或者這個擁有重要內部持股的股票列表會對您有所幫助。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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