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Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's (SZSE:301212) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Lackluster Earnings

Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's (SZSE:301212) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Lackluster Earnings

浙江日薄化工股份有限公司(SZSE:301212)的股東們擔心的不僅僅是低迷的收益
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 18:41

Zhejiang Realsun Chemical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301212) recently posted soft earnings but shareholders didn't react strongly. Our analysis suggests that they may be missing some concerning details underlying the profit numbers.

浙江瑞陽化工股份有限公司(SZSE:301212)最近發佈了軟化的收益,但股東們沒有強烈反應。我們的分析表明,他們可能忽視了利潤數字背後的一些令人關注的細節。

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SZSE:301212 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024
SZSE:301212盈利和營收歷史記錄2024年9月4日

Zooming In On Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's Earnings

聚焦浙江瑞陽化工有限公司的盈利情況

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

許多投資者沒有聽說過現金流量淨額的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司利潤在一個給定期間內是否有自由現金流(FCF)支持的有用指標。我們首先將FCF從一個期間的利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。這個比率告訴我們,公司利潤有多少不是由自由現金流支持的。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負的計提率是件好事,因爲它表明該公司所帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所顯示的要多。雖然高於零的計提率沒有什麼大礙,但我們認爲當公司的計提率相對較高時值得注意。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高計提率往往導致利潤更少或者更少的利潤增長。

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.37. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥28.8m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥224m in the last year. We also note that Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥224m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在2023年6月至2024年6月的12個月中,浙江瑞陽化工有限公司的應計比率爲0.37。從統計學角度來看,這對未來的收益是一個真正的負面因素。事實上,該公司在這段時間內沒有產生任何自由現金流。儘管它報告了人民幣2880萬的利潤,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在過去一年中流出了人民幣22400萬。我們還注意到,浙江瑞陽化工有限公司的自由現金流去年也是負值,所以我們可以理解股東們對其流出人民幣22400萬的情況感到困擾。然而,這並不是所有需要考慮的因素。應計比率反映了非經常性項目對經常利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd.

注:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊此處,查看我們對浙江瑞陽化工有限公司資產負債表的分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常規項目如何影響利潤?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥2.8m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

該公司在去年因飛凡項目導致利潤增加280萬元,這可能在一定程度上解釋了其應計利潤率之弱。 儘管我們喜歡看到利潤增長,但當飛凡項目做出了巨大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。 當我們分析了全球大多數上市公司時,我們發現重要的飛凡項目通常不會重複發生。 這並不奇怪,鑑於其名稱。 如果浙江日照化工股份有限公司無法再次實現這種貢獻,那麼其他一切條件相同,我們預計其利潤在當前年度將會下降。

Our Take On Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's Profit Performance

我們對浙江日照化工股份有限公司的利潤表現的看法

Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

浙江日照化工股份有限公司的應計利潤率較低,但其利潤從飛凡項目中獲得了增長。 綜合考慮所有這些因素,我們認爲浙江日照化工股份有限公司的利潤可能給人過於慷慨的盈利能力印象。 如果您想了解浙江日照化工股份有限公司作爲一家企業的更多信息,了解其面臨的任何風險非常重要。 每個公司都有風險,而我們已經發現了浙江日照化工股份有限公司的3個警示信號(其中1個無法忽視!)您應該知道。

Our examination of Zhejiang Realsun ChemicalLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我們對浙江日照化工股份有限公司的審計聚焦於可能使其收益看起來好於實際情況的某些因素。 基於這一點,我們持有一定懷疑態度。 但是,有很多其他方式可以了解一個公司。 有些人認爲高淨資產回報率是一個優質企業的良好標誌。 儘管這可能需要您做一些研究,但您可能會發現這個免費收藏的高淨資產回報率公司或這個擁有重要內部持股的股票列表對您有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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