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Why Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:001333) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:001333) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

爲什麼浙江光華科技股份有限公司(SZSE:001333)的盈利不穩只是它問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 18:45

Following the release of a lackluster earnings report from Zhejiang Guanghua Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:001333) the stock price made a strong positive move. We did some analysis and found some positive factors that investors might be paying attention to rather than profit.

在浙江光華科技股份有限公司(SZSE:001333)發佈業績平平的業績後,股價出現了強勁的正向波動。我們進行了一些分析,發現一些積極因素可能會引起投資者的注意,而不僅僅是利潤。

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SZSE:001333 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024
SZSE:001333收益和營業收入歷史記錄 2024年9月4日

Zooming In On Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's Earnings

聚焦於浙江光華科技有限公司的盈利

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

用於衡量公司如何將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的一個重要的財務比率是應計比率。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。該比率向我們展示了公司的利潤超過自由現金流的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當一個公司應記比率爲負數時,實際上這被視爲一件好事,而如果該比率爲正數則被視爲一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正的應記比率,但值得注意的是,當應計比率相當高時,引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文"高應計的公司未來的盈利能力較差"。

For the year to June 2024, Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.29. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥244m despite its profit of CN¥114.0m, mentioned above. We also note that Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥244m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

對於2024年6月份,浙江光華科技有限公司的應付率爲0.29。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠遠低於其法定利潤,這讓我們對利潤作爲指導的實用性產生了懷疑。在過去的十二個月中,儘管其利潤是CN¥11400萬,但其實際的自由現金流是負的,流出了CN¥24400萬。我們還注意到,浙江光華科技有限公司去年的自由現金流也是負的,所以如果股東對其CN¥24400萬的流出感到困擾,我們可以理解。然而,還有其他要考慮的因素。應付率在一定程度上反映了飛凡項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd.

注:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對浙江光華科技有限公司資產負債表的分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。

Unfortunately (in the short term) Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥16m. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

不幸的是(從短期來看),浙江光華科技有限公司的利潤減少了價值爲1600萬元的非常項目。如果這是非現金費用,那麼現金轉換將變得更容易,所以令人驚訝的是應計率卻告訴了不同的故事。雖然由於非常項目而導致的扣除在第一眼看來令人失望,但事實也好,我們看了成千上萬的上市公司,發現非常項目往往是一次性的。這並不奇怪,因爲這些項目被認爲是異常的。如果浙江光華科技有限公司不再遇到這些異常開支,那麼其他因素不變,我們預計其利潤在未來一年內會增加。

Our Take On Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我們對浙江光華科技有限公司的利潤表現的看法

In conclusion, Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Having considered these factors, we don't think Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Guanghua TechnologyLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

總的來說,浙江光華科技股份有限公司的應計比率表明其法定盈利並不受現金流支持,儘管有飛凡項目對利潤產生影響。考慮到這些因素,我們認爲浙江光華科技股份有限公司的法定利潤並沒有對業務產生過分嚴苛的看法。記住,在分析股票時,值得注意涉及的風險。舉個例子:我們發現了浙江光華科技股份有限公司的2個警示信號,您應該注意其中1個讓我們感覺有些不舒服。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在本文中,我們已經探討了許多可能損害利潤數字作爲企業指導的因素。但有很多其他方法可以了解公司的情況。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是良好業務經濟學的一個指標,而其他人則喜歡「跟隨資金」,尋找內部人員購買的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這些高股本回報率的免費公司集合,或這些擁有高內部所有權的股票的清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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