Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's (SZSE:300915) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's (SZSE:300915) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300915) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.
上海海融科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300915)的強勁盈利報告並未能推動其股票市場。我們的分析表明,這可能是因爲股東注意到一些令人擔憂的基本因素。
A Closer Look At Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's Earnings
對上海海融科技收益的詳細觀察
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
在高金融領域,用於衡量公司將其報告利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是從現金流量中計算的應計率。簡單點來說,這個比率從淨利潤中減去自由現金流,然後將這個數字除以公司在那段時間內的平均營業資產。從現金流來看,你可以把它看作是「非FCF利潤率」。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,負的應計利潤率對公司來說是積極的,而正的應計利潤率則是負面的。雖然有正的應計利潤率不是問題,表示某種程度的非現金利潤,但高的應計利潤率可能是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇論文:「具有更高應計利潤的公司未來 tend to be less profitable。」
Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.47 for the year to June 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥110.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥99m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥99m, this year, indicates high risk.
上海海融科技在2024年6月的一年中的應計比率爲0.47。從統計學的角度來說,這對未來的盈利是一個真正的負面因素。事實上,在此期間,公司根本沒有產生任何自由現金流。儘管它報告了人民幣11030萬的利潤,但自由現金流數據顯示,其在過去一年中實際上消耗了人民幣9900萬。在去年出現負自由現金流的背景下,猜想一些股東可能會想知道,今年9900萬的現金燒損是否表示高風險。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表強度。點擊此處,查看我們對上海海融科技資產負債表的分析。
Our Take On Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's Profit Performance
我們對上海海融科技的利潤表現有所看法
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 23% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.
正如我們已經明確表示的那樣,我們有點擔心上海海融科技沒有用自由現金流支持去年的利潤。因此,我們認爲上海海融科技的法定利潤可能不是其潛在盈利能力的一個良好指標,並且可能給投資者過度正面的印象。好消息是,其每股收益在去年增加了23%。當然,在分析其收益方面,我們只是皮毛而已;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長、投資回報率等其他因素。如果您想更深入地了解上海海融科技,您還需要研究目前面臨的風險。例如,上海海融科技有2個警告信號(其中有1個是顯著的),我們認爲您應該了解。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
今天,我們聚焦於一個數據點,以更好地了解上海海融科技利潤的性質。但還有很多其他方法可以了解一個公司。一些人認爲高股本回報率是一個優質業務的良好標誌。因此,您可能希望查看此處的高股本回報率公司免費收藏,或者具有高內部持股的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。