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Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Linktel Technologies (SZSE:301205) Shareholders

Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Linktel Technologies (SZSE:301205) Shareholders

盈利困難可能預示着聯訊科技(SZSE:301205)股東們面臨更大的問題
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 19:06

Following the release of a lackluster earnings report from Linktel Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301205) the stock price made a strong positive move. We looked at the details, and we think that investors may be responding to some encouraging factors.

繼聯通信技術有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:301205)發佈乏善可陳的收益報告後,股價出現了強勁的積極走勢。我們研究了細節,我們認爲投資者可能正在對一些令人鼓舞的因素做出回應。

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SZSE:301205 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024
SZSE: 301205 2024 年 9 月 4 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At Linktel Technologies' Earnings

仔細觀察聯電科技的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

許多投資者還沒有聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

For the year to June 2024, Linktel Technologies had an accrual ratio of 0.38. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥331m despite its profit of CN¥27.7m, mentioned above. We also note that Linktel Technologies' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥331m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2024年6月的一年中,Linktel Technologies的應計比率爲0.38。通常,這對未來的盈利能力來說是個壞兆頭。事實上,在此期間,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的十二個月中,它的自由現金流實際上爲負數,儘管如上所述,其利潤爲2770萬元人民幣,但仍流出33100萬元人民幣。我們還注意到,Linktel Technologies去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,因此我們可以理解股東是否被其33100萬元人民幣的流出所困擾。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Linktel Technologies.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對Linktel Technologies的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Linktel Technologies' profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥17m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Linktel Technologies doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Linktel Technologies的利潤來自不尋常的項目,在過去的十二個月中,利潤減少了1700萬元人民幣。如果這是一筆非現金費用,則可以更輕鬆地實現高現金轉換,因此令人驚訝的是,應計比率講述了一個不同的故事。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤損失從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。如果Linktel Technologies不看到這些不尋常的支出重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其利潤將在來年增加。

Our Take On Linktel Technologies' Profit Performance

我們對Linktel Technologies利潤表現的看法

Linktel Technologies saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Linktel Technologies' statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Linktel Technologies (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

Linktel Technologies看到不尋常的項目壓制了其利潤,這本來可以更容易地顯示出高現金轉化率,但根據其應計比率,Linktel Technologies沒有這樣做。基於這些因素,我們認爲Linktel Technologies的法定利潤不太可能使其看起來比現在疲軟得多。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現了Linktel Technologies的4個警告信號(其中2個可能很嚴重!)你應該知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

在本文中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲企業的指南。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份擁有大量內幕持股的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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