Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's (SZSE:000529) Earnings Quality Is Low
Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's (SZSE:000529) Earnings Quality Is Low
Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Guangdong Guanghong Holdings Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000529) weak earnings. Our analysis suggests that they may be missing some concerning details underlying the profit numbers.
廣東廣宏控股有限公司(SZSE:000529)的營收疲軟,股東們似乎並不太擔憂。我們的分析表明,他們可能忽略了利潤數字背後一些令人擔憂的細節。
Zooming In On Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's Earnings
聚焦廣東廣宏控股有限公司的收益
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
作爲金融迷,大家應該已經知道,從現金流量中的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配情況的關鍵指標之一。 換句話說,該比率將FCF從淨利潤中扣除,並將該數值除以公司在該期間內的平均營運資產。 該比率顯示我們公司盈利超過了自由現金流的多少。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所顯示的更多。雖然擁有正的應計比率並不是問題,表明一定程度的非現金利潤,但高應計比率可能是一件壞事,因爲這表明紙面利潤不能得到現金流支持。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往導致較低的利潤或利潤增長率。
Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.20 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥354m despite its profit of CN¥156.2m, mentioned above. We also note that Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥354m. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
廣東廣宏控股有限公司截至2024年6月的準確比率爲0.20。因此,我們知道其自由現金流明顯低於法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。在過去的12個月中,儘管利潤爲1.562億元人民幣,但實際上自由現金流爲負數,流出金額爲3.54億元人民幣。我們還注意到,廣東廣宏控股有限公司的自由現金流在去年也是負數,因此可以理解股東們對其3.54億元人民幣的流出感到煩擾。話雖如此,這件事情還有更多故事。準確比率在一定程度上反映了異常項目對法定利潤的影響。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。單擊此處查看廣東廣宏控股有限公司的資產負債表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥76m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
考慮到應計比率,廣東廣宏控股有限公司的利潤在過去12個月受到價值7,600萬人民幣的異常項目的提振並不令人過於驚訝。我們不能否認,利潤較高通常使我們感到樂觀,但我們更希望利潤能夠持續。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了數據分析,發現異常項目一般是一次性的是非常普遍的。考慮到名稱,這並不奇怪。我們可以看到,廣東廣宏控股有限公司的積極異常項目相對於2024年6月止年度的利潤來說相當顯著。其他條件不變的情況下,這可能會導致法定利潤對基本盈利能力的指引效果較差。
Our Take On Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's Profit Performance
我們對廣東廣宏控股有限公司的利潤表現的看法
Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Guangdong Guanghong HoldingsLtd (1 is significant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
廣東廣宏控股有限公司的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實受異常項目的提振。考慮到上述原因,我們認爲僅簡單地看一眼廣東廣宏控股有限公司的法定利潤可能會讓其看起來比實際情況更好。有此在心,除非我們全面了解風險,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。在研究過程中,我們發現了3個警示信號,認爲值得您充分重視。(其中1個非常重要!)
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在本文章中,我們研究了幾個可能影響利潤數據實用性的因素,我們對此持謹慎態度。但是,如果您能夠將精力集中在細節上,就一定會發現更多。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報是良好企業經濟的指標,而其他人則喜歡"跟隨資金"並尋找內部人員在購買的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這個高股本回報的免費收藏,或此具有高內部所有權的股票列表。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。