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Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s (SHSE:601999) Earnings Are Built On Soft Foundations

Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s (SHSE:601999) Earnings Are Built On Soft Foundations

北方聯合出版傳媒集團(SHSE:601999)的收益建立在脆弱的基礎之上
Simply Wall St ·  09/05 18:37

Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) Company Limited (SHSE:601999) posted some decent earnings, but shareholders didn't react strongly. Our analysis has found some concerning factors which weaken the profit's foundation.

北方聯合出版傳媒(集團)股份有限公司(SHSE:601999)發佈了一些不錯的收益,但股東們的反應並不強烈。我們的分析發現了一些令人擔憂的因素,削弱了利潤的基礎。

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SHSE:601999 Earnings and Revenue History September 5th 2024
SHSE:601999盈利和營業收入歷史 2024年9月5日

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。

Importantly, our data indicates that Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s profit received a boost of CN¥65m in unusual items, over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

重要的是,我們的數據顯示,北方聯合出版傳媒(集團)在過去一年中非常規項目獲得了6500萬元人民幣的增長。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增長,但當非常規項目做出巨大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。當我們分析了成千上萬家上市公司的數據後,發現一年中非常規項目的增長經常不會在下一年重複出現。這並不奇怪,名字就能說明問題。我們可以看到,與2024年6月相比,北方聯合出版傳媒(集團)的正常項目相對利潤非常顯著。其他一切相等的情況下,這很可能導致法定利潤對基本盈利能力的指導不足。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Northern United Publishing & Media (Group).

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊此處查看我們對北方聯合出版傳媒(集團)的資產負債表分析。

An Unusual Tax Situation

一種不尋常的稅務情況

Having already discussed the impact of the unusual items, we should also note that Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) received a tax benefit of CN¥10m. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

在已經討論了非常規項目的影響後,我們還應該注意到北方聯合出版傳媒(集團)獲得了1000萬元人民幣的稅收收益。當一家公司得到稅務部門的支付而不是向稅務部門支付時,這總是有點值得注意的。我們相信公司對其稅收收益感到滿意。然而,我們的數據顯示,稅收收益可以在預訂年度暫時增加法定利潤,但隨後利潤可能會回落。如果稅收收益不會重複,我們預計在缺乏強勁增長的情況下,法定利潤水平會下降。因此,雖然我們認爲獲得稅收收益是很好的,但這往往意味着企業的法定利潤可能高估了可持續盈利能力的風險增加。

Our Take On Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s Profit Performance

我們對Northern United Publishing & Media(集團)的利潤表現有了自己的看法

In its last report Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) received a tax benefit which might make its profit look better than it really is on a underlying level. Furthermore, it also benefitted from a positive unusual item, which boosted the profit result even higher. Considering all this we'd argue Northern United Publishing & Media (Group)'s profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) you should be mindful of and 1 of these can't be ignored.

在其最新的報告中,Northern United Publishing & Media(集團)獲得了一項稅收優惠,這可能使其利潤在基本水平上看起來比實際情況要好。此外,它還受益於一項積極的飛凡收入,這使利潤結果更加顯著提高。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲Northern United Publishing & Media(集團)的利潤可能給人對其可持續盈利水平過分慷慨的印象。因此,儘管盈利質量很重要,但同樣重要的是要考慮當前時點上Northern United Publishing & Media(集團)面臨的風險。例如:我們發現了3個對Northern United Publishing & Media(集團)構成警告的跡象,您應該予以注意,其中1個是不容忽視的。

Our examination of Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我們對Northern United Publishing & Media(集團)的檢查側重於某些因素,這些因素可能使其盈利看起來比實際情況要好。基於此,我們持有一些懷疑態度。但還有很多其他方法來了解一家公司。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的良好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這些具有高股本回報率的公司的免費收藏,或者擁有高內部所有權的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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