Hangzhou Alltest Biotech (SHSE:688606) Shareholders Should Be Cautious Despite Solid Earnings
Hangzhou Alltest Biotech (SHSE:688606) Shareholders Should Be Cautious Despite Solid Earnings
Following the release of a positive earnings report recently, Hangzhou Alltest Biotech Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688606) stock performed well. Despite this, we feel that there are some reasons to be cautious with these earnings.
繼最近發佈正面收益報告後,杭州奧測生物技術有限公司s (SHSE: 688606) 股票表現良好。儘管如此,我們認爲有一些理由對這些收益持謹慎態度。
Zooming In On Hangzhou Alltest Biotech's Earnings
放大杭州Alltest Biotech的收益
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長減弱。
Over the twelve months to June 2024, Hangzhou Alltest Biotech recorded an accrual ratio of 0.39. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥147m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥233.3m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥147m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
在截至2024年6月的十二個月中,杭州奧泰生物科技的應計比率爲0.39。通常,這對未來的盈利能力來說是個壞兆頭。換句話說,該公司在那段時間內沒有產生一點自由現金流。去年,它的自由現金流實際上爲負14700萬元人民幣,而上述利潤爲23330萬元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年14700萬元的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hangzhou Alltest Biotech.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對杭州奧特生物科技的資產負債表分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
不尋常物品對利潤的影響
Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Hangzhou Alltest Biotech's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥44m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
考慮到應計比率,在過去的十二個月中,杭州奧泰生物科技的利潤因價值4400萬元人民幣的不尋常項目而提振也就不足爲奇了。我們不能否認更高的利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。這正如你所預料的那樣,因爲這些增強被描述爲 「不尋常」。假設這些不尋常的項目在本年度不會再次出現,因此我們預計明年的利潤將疲軟(也就是說,在業務沒有增長的情況下)。
Our Take On Hangzhou Alltest Biotech's Profit Performance
我們對杭州奧特生物科技盈利表現的看法
Hangzhou Alltest Biotech had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Hangzhou Alltest Biotech's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about Hangzhou Alltest Biotech as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Hangzhou Alltest Biotech (2 can't be ignored) you should be familiar with.
杭州奧泰生物科技的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實受到不尋常項目的提振。出於上述原因,我們認爲,敷衍地看一眼杭州奧特生物科技的法定利潤可能會使其看起來比實際水平要好。如果您想進一步了解杭州奧泰生物科技的業務,請務必了解其面臨的任何風險。例如,我們已經確定了你應該熟悉的杭州奧測生物科技的3個警告信號(其中2個不容忽視)。
Our examination of Hangzhou Alltest Biotech has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
我們對杭州Alltest Biotech的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份擁有高股本回報率的公司的免費集合,或者這份內部所有權高的股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。