Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping (SHSE:601022) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping (SHSE:601022) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Ningbo Ocean Shipping Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601022) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:「波動性遠非風險的代名詞。」因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,寧波遠洋運輸有限公司(SHSE: 601022)確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面後果。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping's Net Debt?
寧波遠洋航運的淨負債是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Ningbo Ocean Shipping had debt of CN¥857.0m, up from CN¥516.9m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.49b in cash, so it actually has CN¥633.1m net cash.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年6月,寧波遠洋運輸的債務爲85700萬元人民幣,高於一年內的51690萬元人民幣。但是,其資產負債表顯示它持有14.9元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有63310萬元人民幣的淨現金。
How Strong Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping's Balance Sheet?
寧波海運的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Ningbo Ocean Shipping had liabilities of CN¥1.89b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥621.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.49b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.08b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥56.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,寧波遠洋運輸的負債爲18.9元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲62120萬元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有14.9元人民幣的現金以及價值10.8元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它可以擁有比總負債多出5650萬元人民幣的流動資產。
This state of affairs indicates that Ningbo Ocean Shipping's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥9.72b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Ningbo Ocean Shipping has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種狀況表明,寧波遠洋運輸的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,儘管很難想象這家97.2元人民幣的公司正在爲現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認爲值得監控其資產負債表。簡而言之,寧波遠洋航運的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。
But the bad news is that Ningbo Ocean Shipping has seen its EBIT plunge 14% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ningbo Ocean Shipping will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
但壞消息是,寧波遠洋運輸的息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了14%。如果收益的下降速度持續下去,該公司可能會陷入困境。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲寧波遠洋航運需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Ningbo Ocean Shipping has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last three years, Ningbo Ocean Shipping actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。儘管寧波遠洋航運的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。考慮到過去三年,寧波遠洋運輸實際上總體上出現了現金流出。債務通常更昂貴,而且對於自由現金流爲負的公司來說,風險幾乎總是更大。股東們應該希望有所改善。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Ningbo Ocean Shipping has CN¥633.1m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with Ningbo Ocean Shipping's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Ningbo Ocean Shipping that you should be aware of.
儘管調查公司的債務始終是明智之舉,但在本案中,寧波遠洋運輸的淨現金爲63310萬元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。因此,我們對寧波遠洋運輸使用債務沒有任何問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經確定了寧波遠洋運輸的1個警告標誌,你應該注意這一點。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。