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Goldcard Smart Group (SZSE:300349) Sheds CN¥356m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

Goldcard Smart Group (SZSE:300349) Sheds CN¥356m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

金卡智能(SZSE:300349)拋售了35600萬人民幣,公司收益和投資者回報在過去五年間持續下降
Simply Wall St ·  09/06 18:06

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Goldcard Smart Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300349), since the last five years saw the share price fall 35%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 15% in the last 90 days. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 9.7% in the same timeframe.

對於許多人來說,投資的主要目的是獲得比整個市場更高的回報。 但每個投資者幾乎肯定會有超過和低於市場表現的股票。 在這個點上,一些股東可能會對他們在金卡智能股份有限公司(SZSE:300349)的投資產生疑問,因爲過去五年中股價下跌了35%。 最近90天股東的表現更糟糕,股價下跌了15%。 然而,可以說價格受到了總體市場的影響,該市場在同一時間段下跌了9.7%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

考慮到過去一週對股東來說是艱難的,讓我們調查一下基本面並看看我們能學到什麼。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

市場有時無疑是高效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務表現。 一種檢查市場情緒如何隨時間改變的方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Goldcard Smart Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 1.7% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 8% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The low P/E ratio of 10.49 further reflects this reticence.

在股價下跌的五年內,金卡智能集團的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了1.7%。 這種EPS的下降小於股價每年下降8%。 所以似乎市場對該業務過去過於自信。 低市盈率10.49進一步反映了這種保守態度。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。

big
SZSE:300349 Earnings Per Share Growth September 6th 2024
2024年9月6日盈利每股增長

We know that Goldcard Smart Group has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Goldcard Smart Group stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

我們知道金卡智能在過去三年中改善了其底線,但未來將會如何?如果您考慮買入或賣出金卡智能股票,您應該查看這份免費的詳細報告,了解其資產負債表。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Goldcard Smart Group the TSR over the last 5 years was -26%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

對於任何一支股票,考慮總股東回報率和股價回報率都是很重要的。TSR是一種回報計算方式,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設任何分紅都是再投資)以及任何折價的增發和剝離所計算的價值。可以說,TSR提供了一個更全面的股票回報圖景。我們注意到,金卡智能過去5年的TSR爲-26%,相比上述的股價回報來說更好。這主要是由於其分紅支付!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While it's never nice to take a loss, Goldcard Smart Group shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 15% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 17%. Given the total loss of 5% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Goldcard Smart Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

雖然遭受虧損從來都不是好事,但金卡智能的股東可以安慰地得知,包括分紅在內,他們在過去12個月的虧損率爲15%,並不像市場虧損率約爲17%那樣糟糕。考慮到一個五年期內每年5%的總損失,似乎回報在過去十二個月內出現了惡化。雖然一些投資者專門在購買一些處於困境但被低估的公司時表現不錯,但不要忘記巴菲特曾說過「迴轉很少會成功」。儘管考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響非常重要,但還有其他更重要的因素。即便如此,要注意金卡智能在我們的投資分析中顯示出1個警告信號,您應該了解一下...

But note: Goldcard Smart Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但是請注意:金卡智能可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,請瀏覽這個免費的有過歷史收益增長(並且未來進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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