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We Think Array Technologies (NASDAQ:ARRY) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Array Technologies (NASDAQ:ARRY) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲Array Technologies (納斯達克:ARRAY) 在其債務方面存在一些風險。
Simply Wall St ·  09/07 09:24

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Array Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARRY) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。重要的是,Array Technologies, Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:ARRY)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。資本主義的組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Array Technologies's Debt?

Array Technologies的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Array Technologies had debt of US$680.7m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$739.9m over a year. On the flip side, it has US$282.3m in cash leading to net debt of about US$398.4m.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳細信息,該圖片顯示,截至2024年6月底,Array Technologies的債務爲6.807億美元,較上一年的7.399億美元有所減少。另一方面,它擁有2.823億美元的現金,淨負債約爲3.984億美元。

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NasdaqGM:ARRY Debt to Equity History September 7th 2024
納斯達克通用汽車公司:ARRY 債務與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 9 月 7 日

A Look At Array Technologies' Liabilities

看看Array Technologies的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Array Technologies had liabilities of US$337.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$735.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$282.3m in cash and US$309.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$481.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Array Technologies的負債爲3.376億美元,一年後到期的負債爲7.355億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有2.823億美元的現金和3.097億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出4.81億美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Array Technologies has a market capitalization of US$969.3m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

儘管這可能看起來很多,但還不錯,因爲Array Technologies的市值爲9.693億美元,因此如果需要,它可能會通過籌集資金來加強其資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

Array Technologies has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.7 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Shareholders should be aware that Array Technologies's EBIT was down 36% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Array Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Array Technologies的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率爲2.5,其息稅前利潤支付了利息支出的4.7倍。這表明,儘管債務水平很高,但我們不會稱其爲有問題。股東們應該意識到,去年,Array Technologies的息稅前利潤下降了36%。如果這種盈利趨勢繼續下去,那麼償還債務就像放貓坐過山車一樣容易。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定Array Technologies未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, Array Technologies actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。因此,值得檢查一下該息稅前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去的兩年中,Array Technologies產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。這種強勁的現金產生像穿着大黃蜂套裝的小狗一樣溫暖着我們的心。

Our View

我們的觀點

Neither Array Technologies's ability to grow its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Array Technologies is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Array Technologies you should be aware of.

無論是Array Technologies增長息稅前利潤的能力還是其總負債水平,都沒有使我們對它承擔更多債務的能力充滿信心。但是它將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流卻講述了一個截然不同的故事,也表明了一定的彈性。從上面提到的所有角度來看,在我們看來,由於債務,Array Technologies確實是一項風險較大的投資。並非所有風險都是壞的,因爲如果得到回報,它可以提高股價回報,但是這種債務風險值得牢記。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的三種陣列技術警告信號。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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