Diwang Industrial Holdings' (HKG:1950) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear
Diwang Industrial Holdings' (HKG:1950) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear
Investors weren't pleased with the recent soft earnings report from Diwang Industrial Holdings Limited (HKG:1950). Our analysis suggests that while the headline numbers were soft, there are some positive factors which shareholders may have missed.
投資者對地王實業控股有限公司(HKG:1950)最近的業績報告不滿意。根據我們的分析,儘管主要數據較差,但一些股東可能忽略了一些積極的因素。
A Closer Look At Diwang Industrial Holdings' Earnings
對地王實業控股收益的更詳細分析
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的一項關鍵財務比率是應計比率。要獲得應計比率,我們首先將某一時期的FCF從利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以該時期平均經營資產。您可以將來自現金流的應計比率視爲「非FCF獲利比例」。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因爲它顯示公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然擁有正的應計比率不是問題,表明一定水平的非現金利潤,但高的應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇論文「具有更高應計的公司趨向於在未來盈利更少」。
For the year to June 2024, Diwang Industrial Holdings had an accrual ratio of 0.55. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥276m despite its profit of CN¥11.1m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥276m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
對於2024年6月的一年,地王實業控股的應計比率爲0.55。從統計上來說,這對未來的盈利是一個真正的負面因素。實際上,在此期間,公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去12個月中,儘管盈利爲CN¥1110萬,但其實際自由現金流爲負值,流出了CN¥27600萬。在去年出現負自由現金流的情況下,我們想象一些股東可能會想知道,今年的CN¥27600萬現金燃燒是否表示高風險。然而,還有其他需要考慮的因素。我們可以看到,異常項目影響了其法定利潤,因此影響了應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Diwang Industrial Holdings.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看地王實業控股的資產負債表分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
Diwang Industrial Holdings' profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥4.2m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. In the twelve months to June 2024, Diwang Industrial Holdings had a big unusual items expense. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.
迪王實業控股的利潤遭受了飛凡項目的影響,在過去十二個月中減少了420萬人民幣。如果這是一項非現金費用,它本應會使應計比例更好,如果現金流保持強勁,那麼結合無趣的應計比例看到這一點並不是件好事。雖然由於飛凡項目的扣除在第一時間令人失望,但其中也有一線希望。當我們分析了全球絕大多數上市公司時,發現重大的飛凡項目往往不會重複出現。畢竟,這恰恰是會計術語所暗示的。截至2024年6月的十二個月內,迪王實業控股出現了大筆飛凡項目費用。其他條件相等的情況下,這很可能會導致法定利潤看起來比其潛在盈利能力更糟糕。
Our Take On Diwang Industrial Holdings' Profit Performance
我們對迪王實業控股的利潤表現的看法
Diwang Industrial Holdings saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Diwang Industrial Holdings' profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into Diwang Industrial Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Diwang Industrial Holdings (2 are concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
迪王實業控股看到飛凡項目對其利潤造成了影響,這本來應該使其更容易展現出高現金轉化率,但根據其應計比例的表現,它並沒有做到。基於這些因素,很難判斷迪王實業控股的利潤是否合理反映了其潛在盈利能力。如果你想深入研究迪王實業控股,你還應該關注它目前面臨的風險。當我們進行研究時,發現了迪王實業控股存在3個警示信號(其中2個令人擔憂!)我們認爲這值得你充分關注。
Our examination of Diwang Industrial Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
我們對迪王實業控股的審查聚焦在可以讓其盈利看起來比實際情況更好的因素上。但如果你能把注意力集中在細枝末節上,總能找到更多發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的指標,而另一些人喜歡『追蹤資金』並尋找內部人員正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望查看擁有高股本回報率的公司的免費收集,或者具有高內部所有權股票的名單。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。