Why San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's (HKG:236) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Why San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's (HKG:236) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Limited (HKG:236) recently. We did some analysis, and found that there are some reasons to be cautious about the headline numbers.
聖米格爾啤酒廠香港有限公司(HKG: 236)最近的疲軟收益並沒有給市場留下深刻的印象。我們做了一些分析,發現有一些理由對標題數字持謹慎態度。
An Unusual Tax Situation
不尋常的稅收狀況
We can see that San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong received a tax benefit of HK$21m. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal.
我們可以看到,香港聖米格爾啤酒廠獲得了2100萬港元的稅收優惠。這當然有點不尋常,因爲公司納稅比獲得稅收優惠更爲普遍!當然,初步看來,獲得稅收優惠是件好事。但是,我們的數據表明,稅收優惠可以暫時增加賬面當年的法定利潤,但隨後利潤可能會回落。假設每年都不重複享受稅收優惠,在其他條件相同的情況下,我們可能會看到其盈利能力明顯下降。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對香港聖米格爾啤酒廠的資產負債表分析。
Our Take On San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's Profit Performance
我們對香港聖米格爾啤酒廠盈利表現的看法
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong reported that it received a tax benefit, rather than paid tax, in its last report. As a result we don't think its profit result, which includes that tax-boost, is a good guide to its sustainable profit levels. Because of this, we think that it may be that San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong at this point in time. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong and we think they deserve your attention.
香港聖米格爾啤酒廠在上一份報告中報告說,它獲得了稅收優惠,而不是納稅。因此,我們認爲其利潤結果,包括增稅,不能很好地指導其可持續利潤水平。因此,我們認爲香港聖米格爾啤酒廠的法定利潤可能好於其基礎盈利能力。但好消息是,其在過去三年中的每股收益增長非常令人印象深刻。本文的目標是評估我們在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多需要考慮的地方。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮香港聖米格爾啤酒廠目前面臨的風險同樣重要。在Simply Wall St,我們發現了香港聖米格爾啤酒廠的兩個警告標誌,我們認爲它們值得你注意。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
今天,我們放大了單一數據點,以更好地了解香港聖米格爾啤酒廠利潤的性質。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 「關注資金」,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份擁有高股本回報率的公司的免費集合,或者這份內部所有權高的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。