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CNR Vs CP: Which Canadian Railway Stock Wins?

CNR Vs CP: Which Canadian Railway Stock Wins?

CNR對CP:哪個加拿大鐵路股票獲勝?
The Motley Fool ·  09/09 16:00

Railroad stocks such as Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (TSX:CP) have generated massive wealth for long-term shareholders. If we adjust for dividend reinvestments, Canadian National Railway has returned 1,380% to shareholders since September 2004, easily outpacing the TSX index gains of 403%. Comparatively, Canadian Pacific Kansas City stock has returned more than 2,000% in this period.

加拿大國家鐵路(TSX:CNR)和加拿大太平洋堪薩斯城(TSX:CP)等鐵路股票爲長期股東創造了巨大財富。如果我們考慮到股息再投資,自2004年9月以來,加拿大國家鐵路的回報率達到了1380%,遠超403%的TSX指數增長。相比之下,加拿大太平洋堪薩斯城股票在這個期間的回報超過2000%。

However, as past returns shouldn't matter much to current and future shareholders, let's see which Canadian railroad stock is a better buy right now.

然而,過去的回報對當前和未來的股東並不重要,讓我們看看現在哪個加拿大鐵路股票是更好的買入選擇。

The bull case for Canadian National Railway stock

加拿大國家鐵路股票的看多理由

Valued at $98.5 billion by market cap, Canadian National Railway transports several products, such as petroleum, chemicals, grains, fertilizers, coal, metals, and minerals, as it serves exporters, retailers, farmers, and manufacturers, with a network of 19,500 route miles of track spanning Canada and the United States. Basically, Canadian National Railway is a TSX giant that enjoys a wide competitive moat.

加拿大國家鐵路的市值爲985億美元,運輸多種產品,如石油、化學品、穀物、化肥、煤、金屬和礦物質,爲出口商、零售商、農民和製造商提供服務,擁有跨越加拿大和美國的19500英里鐵路網絡。基本上,加拿大國家鐵路是一個享有寬廣競爭壕溝的TSX巨頭。

Canadian National is a global transportation leader and trade enabler. It is essential to the North American economy, safely transporting 300 million tons of natural resources, manufactured products, and finished goods throughout the continent each year. The TSX heavyweight aims to create value for customers and shareholders by enhancing customer engagement and leveraging the strength of its expansive rail network.

加拿大國家鐵路是全球運輸領導者和貿易促進者。每年安全運輸30000萬噸自然資源、製造品和成品商品,對北美經濟至關重要。TSX重量級企業旨在通過改善客戶參與度和利用其龐大的鐵路網絡的實力爲客戶和股東創造價值。

With $52.7 billion in assets, Canadian National Railway reported sales of $16.8 billion in 2023. Moreover, it invested $3.1 billion in capital expenditures and reported a free cash flow of $3.9 billion.

擁有527億美元資產的加拿大國家鐵路在2023年報告了168億美元的銷售額。此外,該公司投資了31億美元進行資本支出,並報告了39億美元的自由現金流。

Despite a challenging macro environment, Canadian National Railway increased its adjusted earnings per share by 5% year over year in the second quarter (Q2) of 2024. Moreover, earnings growth is expected in the mid- to high single-digit range this year.

儘管在2024年第二季度(Q2)面臨挑戰的宏觀環境,加拿大國家鐵路的調整後每股收益同比增長了5%。此外,預計今年的盈利增長率將在中到高個位數的範圍內。

Canadian National Railway's free cash flow has risen from $2.05 billion in 2019 to $3.77 billion in 2023. In the last 12 months, its free cash flow has totalled $3.57 billion, while the company has spent less than $2 billion to pay shareholders a dividend, indicating a payout ratio of less than 60%.

加拿大國家鐵路的自由現金流從2019年的205億美元增至2023年的377億美元。在過去12個月中,其自由現金流總額達到357億美元,而公司只用不到20億美元支付股東股息,表明派息比率低於60%。

Analysts remain bullish on CNR stock and expect it to surge over 15% in the next 12 months.

分析師對CNR股票仍持看漲態度,並預計在接下來的12個月內將會上漲超過15%。

The bull case for Canadian Pacific Kansas City stock

加拿大太平洋堪薩斯城股票的多頭情況

Valued at $105 billion by market cap, Canadian Pacific Kansas City operates over 20,000 route miles spanning three countries. Since 2011, the company has improved average train speed by 41%, while the average train weight and average train length have increased by 53% and 42%, respectively.

按市值估計爲1050億美元,加拿大太平洋堪薩斯城在三個國家擁有超過20000英里的路線。自2011年以來,該公司平均列車速度提高了41%,而平均列車重量和平均列車長度分別增加了53%和42%。

Canadian Pacific Kansas City's precision railroading operating model and disciplined focus on execution have allowed it to better utilize its assets and deliver cash flow across market cycles.

加拿大太平洋堪薩斯城的精密鐵路營運模式和注重執行力的紀律性專注已使其更好地利用其資產並在市場週期內實現了現金流的交付。

In Q2 of 2024, Canadian Pacific increased its sales by 14% year over year to $3.6 billion. It ended the June quarter with a healthy operating ratio of 64%, while adjusted earnings per share rose by 27% to $1.05. Comparatively, its operating expenses rose by just 5% year over year to $2.33 billion in Q2.

2024年第二季度,加拿大太平洋年度銷售額同比增長14%至360億美元。該公司以健康的營運比率64%結束了6月季度,而調整後的每股盈利同比增長27%,至1.05美元。相比之下,其第二季度營業費用同比僅增長了5%,至233億美元。

Priced at 26 times forward earnings, CP stock is not too expensive, given analysts forecast earnings to grow by 13% annually in the next five years.

按26倍的預期收益,CP股票並不算太昂貴,考慮到分析師預計未來五年盈利將以每年13%的速度增長。

The Foolish takeaway

愚蠢的帶走

Both Canadian National Railway and Canadian Pacific Kansas City are quality blue-chip companies that continue to grow their earnings and cash flow. Investors should consider gaining exposure to the two railroad leaders and benefit from consistent returns in the upcoming decade.

加拿大國家鐵路和加拿大太平洋堪薩斯城是優質的藍籌公司,它們持續增長其收益和現金流。投資者應考慮獲得這兩家鐵路業領導者的曝光,並從未來十年穩定的回報中受益。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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