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Juneyao Airlines (SHSE:603885) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 34% If They Invested Three Years Ago

Juneyao Airlines (SHSE:603885) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 34% If They Invested Three Years Ago

吉祥航空(SHSE:603885)的投資者如果在三年前投資,現在將面臨34%的虧損
Simply Wall St ·  09/09 19:06

These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. By comparison, an individual stock is unlikely to match market returns - and could well fall short. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Juneyao Airlines Co., Ltd (SHSE:603885) shareholders, since the share price is down 34% in the last three years, less than the market decline of around 33%. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 33% in a year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 15% in the last 90 days. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 11% in the same period.

如今,簡單地購買指數基金很容易,而且您的回報應該(大致)與市場相匹配。相比之下,個股不太可能與市場回報相提並論,而且很可能達不到市場回報。不幸的是,吉祥航空有限公司(SHSE: 603885)的長期股東就是這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了34%,低於市場跌幅約33%。最近的消息並不令人欣慰,股價在一年內下跌了33%。股東們最近的表現更加艱難,股價在過去90天中下跌了15%。但這可能與疲軟的市場有關,同期市場下跌了11%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於從長遠來看,股東會下跌,讓我們來看看那段時間的潛在基本面,看看它們與回報是否一致。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Juneyao Airlines became profitable within the last five years. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

吉祥航空在過去五年中實現了盈利。我們通常預計股價會因此上漲。因此,鑑於股價下跌,還值得檢查其他一些指標。

The modest 1.7% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Revenue is actually up 27% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Juneyao Airlines more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

1.7%的適度股息收益率不太可能指導該股的市場觀點。在過去的三年中,收入實際上增長了27%,因此股價下跌似乎也不取決於收入。這種分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得對吉祥航空進行更仔細的研究,因爲有時股票會不公平地下跌。這可能帶來機會。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

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SHSE:603885 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 9th 2024
SHSE: 603885 收益和收入增長 2024 年 9 月 9 日

Juneyao Airlines is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Juneyao Airlines will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

吉祥航空是一家知名股票,有大量分析師報道,這表明未來增長有一定的可見性。因此,看看分析師認爲吉祥航空未來的收入很有意義(免費的分析師共識估計)

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Juneyao Airlines shareholders are down 32% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 18%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Juneyao Airlines you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

我們遺憾地報告,吉祥航空的股東今年下跌了32%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場18%的跌幅還要嚴重。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨3%的總虧損。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了吉祥航空的兩個警告信號,你應該注意其中的一個警示標誌,其中一個對我們來說不太合適。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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