We Think Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD (SZSE:002428) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
We Think Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD (SZSE:002428) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium Industry Co.,LTD (SZSE:002428) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
有人認爲,作爲投資者,波動性而不是債務是思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:「波動性與風險遠非同義詞。」 當我們考慮一家公司的風險程度時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,雲南鍺業(SZSE:002428)也使用債務。但這種債務對股東是否構成擔憂?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一個企業無法償還債權人的債務,那麼它存在於債權人的掌控之下。資本主義的一個組成部分是「創造性破壞」過程,失敗的企業將無情地被銀行清算。然而,一種更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,企業不得不以低價發行新的股權資本,從而永久地稀釋股東的權益。當然,很多公司使用債務來資助增長,而沒有任何負面後果。在考慮債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
How Much Debt Does Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD Carry?
雲南鍺業(SZSE:002428)的負債有多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD had CN¥694.3m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥131.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥562.6m.
下面的圖表(可以點擊以獲得更多細節)顯示,雲南鍺業(SZSE:002428)於2024年6月有69430萬人民幣的債務,與前一年基本相同。然而,它持有13170萬人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,從而導致淨債務約爲56260萬人民幣。
How Strong Is Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD's Balance Sheet?
雲南鍺業的資產負債表有多強?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD had liabilities of CN¥708.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥526.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥131.7m in cash and CN¥353.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥749.8m.
根據最近公佈的資產負債表顯示,雲南鍺業有短期內到期的負債爲70850萬人民幣,長期負債爲52640萬人民幣。與此相抵,公司擁有13170萬人民幣的現金和35330萬人民幣的應收賬款,這些賬款12個月內到期。這意味着其負債比現金和(短期)應收賬款總和多74980萬人民幣。
Since publicly traded Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD shares are worth a total of CN¥7.69b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
由於公開交易的雲南鍺業股票總值達到76.9億人民幣,看起來這種程度的負債可能並不構成重大威脅。然而,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲這可能隨時間而變化。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中大多數關於債務的信息。但更重要的是,未來的收入將決定雲南鍺業能否維持健康的資產負債表。所以,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
In the last year Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 45%, to CN¥738m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
過去一年,雲南鍺業在EBIt層面沒有盈利,但成功增長了45%的營業收入,達到73800萬人民幣。幸運的話,公司將能夠通過增長實現盈利。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
While we can certainly appreciate Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost CN¥12m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥233m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
雖然我們確實欣賞雲南鍺業的營收增長,但其利息、稅前利潤(EBIT)虧損並不理想。事實上,在EBIt層面虧損了1200萬人民幣。當我們看到這一點並回顧其資產負債表上的負債,相對於現金,我們認爲公司有任何債務都不明智。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管還能挽回。但不利的是,公司過去一年現金燃盡23300萬人民幣。因此,我們認爲該股票存在風險。當分析負債水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,每家公司可能存在超出資產負債表外的風險。請注意,在我們的投資分析中,雲南鍺業展示了2個警示信號,您應該知道……
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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