Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou) Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300905) Shares Climb 32% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou) Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300905) Shares Climb 32% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Those holding Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou) Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300905) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 32% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 51% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 26x, you may consider Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 46.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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How Is Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd's Growth Trending?
Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 61% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 27% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd's P/E
The strong share price surge has got Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd's P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou)Ltd you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit unpleasant.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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